Haro Deportivo vs Alfaro: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 16Group 16 - 20Kick-off on January 31, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Luis De La Fuente, Haro
The Footlab AI model makes Haro Deportivo the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Alfaro. The most likely score is 1-1. If Haro Deportivo wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.7% of the 3,888 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 30, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Haro Deportivo vs Alfaro?
A very open match: only 6 Elo points separate Haro Deportivo (1,793) and Alfaro (1,787).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Haro Deportivo vs Alfaro
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Haro Deportivo
Not enough data to predict the Haro Deportivo lineup.
Alfaro
Not enough data to predict the Alfaro lineup.
Computed on October 30, 2026 at 04:00 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Haro Deportivo have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Alfaro have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Vianés(away) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Casalarreina(home) | 5-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Calahorra(away) | 0-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Anguiano(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Yagüe(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Varea(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Vianés(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Casalarreina(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Calahorra(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Anguiano(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Haro Deportivo win, 1 draw, 3 Alfaro wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Alfaro 1-2 Haro Deportivo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Feb 4, 2024 | Haro Deportivo 0-3 Alfaro | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Sep 17, 2023 | Alfaro 2-1 Haro Deportivo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| May 1, 2022 | Alfaro 5-1 Haro Deportivo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Jan 9, 2022 | Haro Deportivo 2-2 Alfaro | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
Last archived meeting: Alfaro vs Haro Deportivo on Sep 20, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Haro Deportivo score 2.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Alfaro score 1.4 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Haro Deportivo | 2.0 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Alfaro | 1.4 | 1.6 | 2 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Haro Deportivo sit 1st in Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 (16 points from 7 matches) and Alfaro sit 3rd (16 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Haro Deportivo | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 11 | 16 |
| 3 | Alfaro | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 8 | 16 |
A question about Haro Deportivo vs Alfaro?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Haro Deportivo vs Alfaro?
- The Footlab AI model makes Haro Deportivo the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Alfaro.
- Where and when is Haro Deportivo vs Alfaro played?
- Haro Deportivo vs Alfaro is played on January 31, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Luis De La Fuente, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 16.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.