Hartford Athletic vs Charleston Battery: prediction and stats
USL ChampionshipGroup StageKick-off on October 3, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC)Trinity Health Stadium, Hartford
The Footlab model makes Charleston Battery the favourite at 36%, against 28% for a draw and 36% for Hartford Athletic. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hartford Athletic vs Charleston Battery?
A very open match: only 45 Elo points separate Hartford Athletic (1,805) and Charleston Battery (1,850).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hartford Athletic have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Charleston Battery have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Miami FC(home) | 2-1 | USL Championship |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Charlotte Independence(away) | 4-2 | USL League One Cup |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Indy Eleven(away) | 1-1 | USL Championship |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Loudoun United(away) | 0-2 | USL Championship |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Phoenix Rising(away) | 0-0 | USL Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Miami FC(home) | 5-0 | USL Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds(away) | 1-3 | USL Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Loudoun United(away) | 1-0 | USL Championship |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Brooklyn(home) | 5-0 | USL Championship |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Colorado Springs(away) | 1-2 | USL Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Hartford Athletic win(s), 1 draw(s), 5 Charleston Battery win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 14, 2025 | Hartford Athletic 1-2 Charleston Battery | USL Championship |
| May 3, 2025 | Charleston Battery 4-2 Hartford Athletic | USL Championship |
| Jul 12, 2024 | Hartford Athletic 2-2 Charleston Battery | USL Championship |
| May 4, 2024 | Charleston Battery 1-0 Hartford Athletic | USL Championship |
| Jun 17, 2023 | Hartford Athletic 3-4 Charleston Battery | USL Championship |
| Apr 8, 2023 | Charleston Battery 3-2 Hartford Athletic | USL Championship |
Last archived meeting: Hartford Athletic vs Charleston Battery on Jun 14, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Hartford Athletic score 1.2 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Charleston Battery score 2.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hartford Athletic | 1.2 | 0.9 | 5 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Charleston Battery | 2.3 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hartford Athletic sit 7th in USL Championship (17 points from 11 matches) and Charleston Battery sit 4th (20 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Charleston Battery | 21 | 11 | 3 | 7 | 44 | 27 | 36 |
| 4 | Charleston Battery | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 21 | 16 | 20 |
| 7 | Hartford Athletic | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 17 |
| 8 | Hartford Athletic | 19 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 15 | 18 | 24 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hartford Athletic vs Charleston Battery?
- The Footlab model makes Charleston Battery the favourite at 36%, against 28% for a draw and 36% for Hartford Athletic.
- Where and when is Hartford Athletic vs Charleston Battery played?
- Hartford Athletic vs Charleston Battery is played on October 3, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC) at Trinity Health Stadium, in the USL Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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