Where and when is Hatayspor vs Kastamonuspor played?

Hatayspor vs Kastamonuspor is played on January 31, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Mersin Stadyumu, in the 2. Lig.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Hatayspor vs Kastamonuspor: prediction and stats

2. Lig2. Lig White Group - 20Kick-off on January 31, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Mersin Stadyumu, Mersin

Hatayspor

Kastamonuspor

The Footlab model makes Kastamonuspor the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Hatayspor. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Hatayspor vs Kastamonuspor?

A very open match: only 74 Elo points separate Hatayspor (1,589) and Kastamonuspor (1,663).

Hatayspor win34 %

Draw26 %

Kastamonuspor win40 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hatayspor have 2 wins, 1 draws and 12 defeats; Kastamonuspor have 1, 6 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Hatayspor
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 1, 2026	Vanspor FK(home)	3-1	1. Lig
Apr 25, 2026	Serik Spor(away)	2-4	1. Lig
Apr 18, 2026	Sakaryaspor(home)	1-1	1. Lig
Apr 11, 2026	Sarıyer(away)	0-4	1. Lig
Apr 7, 2026	Adana Demirspor(home)	4-0	1. Lig

Kastamonuspor
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 25, 2026	Muğlaspor(home)	0-3	2. Lig
Apr 12, 2026	Şanlıurfaspor(away)	2-5	2. Lig
Apr 8, 2026	Karaman FK(home)	2-2	2. Lig
Apr 4, 2026	Karacabey Belediyespor(away)	0-4	2. Lig
Mar 29, 2026	Batman Petrolspor(home)	1-2	2. Lig

How many goals should we expect?

Hatayspor score 1.0 and concede 2.8 goals per match over their last 15; Kastamonuspor score 0.7 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Hatayspor	1.0	2.8	1	8/15	13/15
Kastamonuspor	0.7	1.8	2	7/15	6/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
12	Kastamonuspor	36	11	9	16	44	56	42

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Hatayspor vs Kastamonuspor?: The Footlab model makes Kastamonuspor the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Hatayspor.
Where and when is Hatayspor vs Kastamonuspor played?: Hatayspor vs Kastamonuspor is played on January 31, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Mersin Stadyumu, in the 2. Lig.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.