Aliağa FAŞ vs Elazığspor: prediction and stats
2. Lig2. Lig White Group - 20Kick-off on January 31, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Aliağa Şehir Stadyumu, Aliağa
The Footlab model makes Elazığspor the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Aliağa FAŞ. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Aliağa FAŞ vs Elazığspor?
A very open match: only 85 Elo points separate Aliağa FAŞ (1,806) and Elazığspor (1,891).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aliağa FAŞ have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Elazığspor have 12, 3 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 4, 2026 | Muş Sport Klübü(away) | 0-0 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 30, 2026 | Muş Sport Klübü(home) | 1-1 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Bursaspor(home) | 0-5 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 19, 2026 | 68 Aksaray Belediyespor(away) | 1-1 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Menemen FK(home) | 5-0 | 2. Lig |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Muğlaspor(away) | 0-0 | 2. Lig |
| May 4, 2026 | Adana 01 FK(home) | 2-1 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 30, 2026 | Adana 01 FK(away) | 4-2 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 25, 2026 | 24 Erzincanspor(home) | 2-0 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 19, 2026 | İskenderunspor(away) | 1-0 | 2. Lig |
How many goals should we expect?
Aliağa FAŞ score 2.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Elazığspor score 2.3 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aliağa FAŞ | 2.1 | 1.7 | 5 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Elazığspor | 2.3 | 0.7 | 8 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Aliağa FAŞ sit 4th in 2. Lig (69 points from 34 matches) and Elazığspor sit 3rd (69 points from 36 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Elazığspor | 36 | 21 | 6 | 9 | 82 | 37 | 69 |
| 4 | Aliağa FAŞ | 34 | 21 | 6 | 7 | 81 | 32 | 69 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Aliağa FAŞ vs Elazığspor?
- The Footlab model makes Elazığspor the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Aliağa FAŞ.
- Where and when is Aliağa FAŞ vs Elazığspor played?
- Aliağa FAŞ vs Elazığspor is played on January 31, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Aliağa Şehir Stadyumu, in the 2. Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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