Havant & Wville vs Aldershot Town: result 4-1 and analysis
FA Trophy4th RoundKick-off on February 4, 2014 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Westleigh Park, Havant, Hampshire
Full time
What was the result of Havant & Wville vs Aldershot Town?
Havant & Wville won 4-1 on February 4, 2014.
Goalscorers
- 49′Dennis OliHavant & Wville
- 52′N. AtanganaHavant & Wville
- 71′Alex PrzespolewskiHavant & Wville
- 75′N. CiardiniHavant & Wville
- 81′B. WilliamsAldershot Town (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Havant & Wville have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Aldershot Town have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2014 | Ebbsfleet United(home) | 1-0 | FA Trophy |
| Dec 16, 2013 | Whitehawk(home) | 3-1 | FA Trophy |
| Dec 14, 2013 | Whitehawk(away) | 1-1 | FA Trophy |
| Dec 2, 2013 | Basingstoke Town(home) | 1-0 | FA Trophy |
| Nov 30, 2013 | Basingstoke Town(away) | 0-0 | FA Trophy |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2014 | Nuneaton Town(away) | 1-2 | National League |
| Jan 25, 2014 | FC Halifax Town(home) | 2-2 | National League |
| Jan 21, 2014 | Barnet(away) | 3-1 | National League |
| Jan 14, 2014 | Gateshead(away) | 0-0 | National League |
| Jan 11, 2014 | Guiseley AFC(home) | 3-0 | FA Trophy |
How many goals should we expect?
Havant & Wville score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Aldershot Town score 2.5 and concede 1.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Havant & Wville | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Aldershot Town | 2.5 | 1.4 | 3 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy