Poole Town vs Havant & Wville: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 21Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Tatnam Ground, Poole, Dorset
The Footlab model makes Poole Town the favourite at 56%, against 22% for a draw and 21% for Havant & Wville. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Poole Town vs Havant & Wville?
A very open match: only 75 Elo points separate Poole Town (1,823) and Havant & Wville (1,748).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Poole Town have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Havant & Wville have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Berkhamsted(away) | 3-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Basingstoke Town(home) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Sholing(home) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Chichester City(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Jul 14, 2026 | Eastleigh(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Plymouth Parkway(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Frome Town(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Uxbridge(home) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Berkhamsted(away) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Salisbury(away) | 0-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Poole Town win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Havant & Wville win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Poole Town 2-0 Havant & Wville | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Dec 6, 2025 | Havant & Wville 0-3 Poole Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Jan 25, 2025 | Havant & Wville 2-1 Poole Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Oct 15, 2024 | Poole Town 0-1 Havant & Wville | Non League Premier - Southern South |
Last archived meeting: Poole Town vs Havant & Wville on Apr 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Poole Town score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Havant & Wville score 1.4 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poole Town | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Havant & Wville | 1.4 | 1.9 | 3 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Poole Town sit 11th in Non League Premier - Southern South (6 points from 4 matches) and Havant & Wville sit 21st (3 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Poole Town | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 6 |
| 21 | Havant & Wville | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Poole Town vs Havant & Wville?
- The Footlab model makes Poole Town the favourite at 56%, against 22% for a draw and 21% for Havant & Wville.
- Where and when is Poole Town vs Havant & Wville played?
- Poole Town vs Havant & Wville is played on November 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Tatnam Ground, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 28, 2026Taunton TownvsGosport Borough
- Nov 28, 2026BerkhamstedvsEvesham United
- Nov 28, 2026Basingstoke TownvsGloucester City
- Nov 28, 2026Bracknell TownvsWimborne Town
- Nov 28, 2026Chichester CityvsUxbridge
- Nov 28, 2026Hanwell TownvsFrome Town
- Nov 28, 2026Yate TownvsHanworth Villa
- Nov 28, 2026Chippenham TownvsBath City