Havlíčkův Brod vs Sparta Brno: prediction and stats
4. liga - Divizie DDivision D - 7Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadion Na Losích, Havlíčkův Brod
The Footlab model makes Havlíčkův Brod the favourite at 54%, against 22% for a draw and 24% for Sparta Brno. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Havlíčkův Brod vs Sparta Brno?
A very open match: only 22 Elo points separate Havlíčkův Brod (1,615) and Sparta Brno (1,594).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Havlíčkův Brod have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Sparta Brno have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bedrichov(away) | 4-1 | 4. liga - Divizie D |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Velké Meziříčí(home) | 3-1 | 4. liga - Divizie D |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Vysočina Jihlava(home) | 1-5 | Cup |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Pelhřimov(away) | 0-1 | 4. liga - Divizie D |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Stará Říše(away) | 4-0 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Chotebor(home) | 2-0 | 4. liga - Divizie D |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Žďár nad Sázavou(away) | 1-1 | 4. liga - Divizie D |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Sokol Lanžhot(home) | 2-0 | Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FS Třebíč(home) | 1-2 | 4. liga - Divizie D |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Vrchovina(home) | 1-0 | Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Havlíčkův Brod win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Sparta Brno win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2026 | Sparta Brno 8-2 Havlíčkův Brod | 4. liga - Divizie D |
| Nov 15, 2025 | Havlíčkův Brod 3-0 Sparta Brno | 4. liga - Divizie D |
Last archived meeting: Sparta Brno vs Havlíčkův Brod on May 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Havlíčkův Brod score 2.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Sparta Brno score 2.3 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Havlíčkův Brod | 2.1 | 1.7 | 5 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
| Sparta Brno | 2.3 | 1.9 | 4 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Havlíčkův Brod sit 7th in 4. liga - Divizie D (3 points from 2 matches) and Sparta Brno sit 13th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Havlíčkův Brod | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 6 |
| 7 | Havlíčkův Brod | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 8 | Sparta Brno | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| 13 | Sparta Brno | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Havlíčkův Brod vs Sparta Brno?
- The Footlab model makes Havlíčkův Brod the favourite at 54%, against 22% for a draw and 24% for Sparta Brno.
- Where and when is Havlíčkův Brod vs Sparta Brno played?
- Havlíčkův Brod vs Sparta Brno is played on September 13, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadion Na Losích, in the 4. liga - Divizie D.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.