HB Koge vs Esbjerg: prediction and stats
1. DivisionRegular Season - 22Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Capelli Sport Stadion, Køge
The Footlab AI model makes Esbjerg the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for HB Koge. The most likely score is 1-1. If Esbjerg wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win HB Koge vs Esbjerg?
A very open match: only 64 Elo points separate HB Koge (1,708) and Esbjerg (1,772).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for HB Koge vs Esbjerg
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
HB Koge
3-4-3- 9T. Thomsen
- 11M. Warming
- 19E. Semovski
- 7M. Jensen
- 6R. Brodersen
- 28G. Larsen
- 25F. Isaki
- 22M. Jakobsen
- 2L. Bust
- 4S. Hald
- 1N. Sømmergaard
Esbjerg
4-3-3- 80M. Brajanac
- 9J. Ampofo
- 18M. Hansen
- 7N. Strunck
- 8M. Maden
- 14J. Kolawole
- 19S. Eng Strand
- 25Gustav Bjerge
- 5J. Foss
- 4P. Tjørnelund
- 1W. Lykke
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 07:08 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, HB Koge have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Esbjerg have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Vendsyssel FF(away) | 2-0 | 1. Division |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Hobro(home) | 5-2 | 1. Division |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Esbjerg(away) | 2-2 | 1. Division |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Hillerød(home) | 1-1 | 1. Division |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Aalborg(away) | 0-0 | 1. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Aalborg(home) | 3-3 | 1. Division |
| Sep 19, 2026 | AB Copenhagen(away) | 0-3 | 1. Division |
| Sep 15, 2026 | HIK(away) | 5-0 | DBU Pokalen |
| Sep 12, 2026 | HB Koge(home) | 2-2 | 1. Division |
| Sep 5, 2026 | FC Fredericia(away) | 0-1 | 1. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 HB Koge win, 1 draw, 4 Esbjerg wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2026 | Esbjerg 2-2 HB Koge | 1. Division |
| Mar 6, 2026 | HB Koge 0-1 Esbjerg | 1. Division |
| Sep 1, 2025 | Esbjerg 3-2 HB Koge | 1. Division |
| Feb 28, 2025 | HB Koge 0-2 Esbjerg | 1. Division |
| Aug 24, 2024 | Esbjerg 4-1 HB Koge | 1. Division |
| May 7, 2022 | HB Koge 2-1 Esbjerg | 1. Division |
How many goals should we expect?
HB Koge score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Esbjerg score 1.9 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HB Koge | 1.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Esbjerg | 1.9 | 1.7 | 2 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
HB Koge sit 8th in 1. Division (10 points from 10 matches) and Esbjerg sit 12th (6 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | HB Koge | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 17 | 10 |
| 12 | Esbjerg | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 22 | 6 |
A question about HB Koge vs Esbjerg?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for HB Koge vs Esbjerg?
- The Footlab AI model makes Esbjerg the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for HB Koge.
- Where and when is HB Koge vs Esbjerg played?
- HB Koge vs Esbjerg is played on March 20, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Capelli Sport Stadion, in the 1. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.