HB Koge vs FC Fredericia: result 3-1 and analysis
1. DivisionRegular Season - 11Kick-off on September 30, 2012 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Capelli Sport Stadion, Køge
Full time
What was the result of HB Koge vs FC Fredericia?
HB Koge won 3-1 on September 30, 2012.
Goalscorers
- 17′A. KaaghHB Koge
- 43′Jeppe Borild KjærHB Koge
- 44′V. Hammershøy-MistratiHB Koge
- 61′Andrei SidorenkovFC Fredericia
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, HB Koge have 2 wins, 5 draws and 8 defeats; FC Fredericia have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 23, 2012 | Brønshøj(home) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
| Sep 16, 2012 | Skive(away) | 1-2 | 1. Division |
| Sep 9, 2012 | Viborg(away) | 0-5 | 1. Division |
| Sep 3, 2012 | Lyngby(home) | 0-5 | 1. Division |
| Aug 25, 2012 | Hobro(away) | 0-0 | 1. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 23, 2012 | Lyngby(away) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
| Sep 14, 2012 | Hobro(home) | 0-1 | 1. Division |
| Sep 9, 2012 | Vestsjælland(away) | 0-0 | 1. Division |
| Sep 2, 2012 | Vendsyssel FF(home) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
| Aug 29, 2012 | Sønderborg(away) | 2-1 | DBU Pokalen |
How many goals should we expect?
HB Koge score 1.3 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; FC Fredericia score 1.4 and concede 0.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HB Koge | 1.3 | 1.9 | 2 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| FC Fredericia | 1.4 | 0.8 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
HB Koge sit 12th in 1. Division (1 points from 5 matches) and FC Fredericia sit 4th (9 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | FC Fredericia | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 9 |
| 12 | HB Koge | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy