HB Koge vs Aarhus Fremad: prediction and stats
1. DivisionRegular Season - 16Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Capelli Sport Stadion, Køge
The Footlab AI model makes HB Koge the favourite at 39%, against 30% for a draw and 31% for Aarhus Fremad. The most likely score is 1-1. If HB Koge wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 4,724 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 7, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win HB Koge vs Aarhus Fremad?
A very open match: only 96 Elo points separate HB Koge (1,665) and Aarhus Fremad (1,760).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for HB Koge vs Aarhus Fremad
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
HB Koge
3-4-3- 9T. Thomsen
- 11M. Warming
- 10C. Jensen
- 7M. Jensen
- 6R. Brodersen
- 25F. Isaki
- 28G. Larsen
- 2L. Bust
- 22M. Jakobsen
- 23M. Westergren
- 1N. Sømmergaard
Aarhus Fremad
4-3-3- 7M. Kaastrup
- 9S. Andreasen
- 18Y. Abdullahi
- 15C. Nygaard
- 6F. Grube
- 27Magnus Kirchheiner
- 33A. Ludwig
- 10M. Kirchheiner
- 4A. Pisani
- 2M. Kjølby
- 1V. Højbjerg
Computed on November 7, 2026 at 02:59 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, HB Koge have 2 wins, 6 draws and 7 defeats; Aarhus Fremad have 5, 7 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2026 | Aalborg(home) | 1-1 | 1. Division |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Kolding IF(away) | 2-3 | 1. Division |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Hvidovre(away) | 2-2 | 1. Division |
| Oct 16, 2026 | AB Copenhagen(home) | 2-3 | 1. Division |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Vendsyssel FF(away) | 2-0 | 1. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Hillerød(home) | 2-0 | 1. Division |
| Oct 29, 2026 | FC Copenhagen(home) | 0-3 | DBU Pokalen |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Vejle(away) | 0-0 | 1. Division |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Esbjerg(home) | 0-0 | 1. Division |
| Oct 9, 2026 | AB Copenhagen(away) | 0-2 | 1. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 HB Koge wins, 2 draws, 1 Aarhus Fremad win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Aarhus Fremad 3-1 HB Koge | 1. Division |
| May 9, 2026 | Aarhus Fremad 0-0 HB Koge | 1. Division |
| Apr 6, 2026 | HB Koge 2-0 Aarhus Fremad | 1. Division |
| Nov 23, 2025 | Aarhus Fremad 2-2 HB Koge | 1. Division |
| Jul 25, 2025 | HB Koge 2-1 Aarhus Fremad | 1. Division |
Last archived meeting: Aarhus Fremad vs HB Koge on Aug 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
HB Koge score 1.3 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Aarhus Fremad score 1.0 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HB Koge | 1.3 | 1.8 | 2 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Aarhus Fremad | 1.0 | 0.8 | 8 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
HB Koge sit 10th in 1. Division (12 points from 14 matches) and Aarhus Fremad sit 5th (18 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Aarhus Fremad | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 18 |
| 10 | HB Koge | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 26 | 12 |
A question about HB Koge vs Aarhus Fremad?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for HB Koge vs Aarhus Fremad?
- The Footlab AI model makes HB Koge the favourite at 39%, against 30% for a draw and 31% for Aarhus Fremad.
- Where and when is HB Koge vs Aarhus Fremad played?
- HB Koge vs Aarhus Fremad is played on November 28, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Capelli Sport Stadion, in the 1. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.