Heart of Lions vs Asante Kotoko: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 19Kick-off on January 23, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Kpandu Stadium, Kpandu
The Footlab model makes Heart of Lions the favourite at 59%, against 27% for a draw and 14% for Asante Kotoko. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Heart of Lions vs Asante Kotoko?
A very open match: only 8 Elo points separate Heart of Lions (1,580) and Asante Kotoko (1,588).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Heart of Lions have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Asante Kotoko have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Medeama(away) | 2-5 | Premier League |
| May 10, 2026 | Samartex(home) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| May 6, 2026 | Nations(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| May 3, 2026 | Aduana Stars(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Karela(away) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Swedru All Blacks(home) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| May 17, 2026 | Bechem United(away) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| May 10, 2026 | Eleven Wonders(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| May 3, 2026 | Dreams(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Medeama(away) | 0-4 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Heart of Lions win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 Asante Kotoko win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | Heart of Lions 3-1 Asante Kotoko | Premier League |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Asante Kotoko 0-0 Heart of Lions | Premier League |
| Apr 6, 2025 | Heart of Lions 1-1 Asante Kotoko | Premier League |
| Nov 3, 2024 | Asante Kotoko 0-1 Heart of Lions | Premier League |
| Feb 24, 2024 | Heart of Lions 1-0 Asante Kotoko | Premier League |
| Sep 17, 2023 | Asante Kotoko 0-0 Heart of Lions | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Heart of Lions vs Asante Kotoko on Jan 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Heart of Lions score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Asante Kotoko score 0.9 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 37% probability of over 2.5 goals and 37% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heart of Lions | 1.3 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Asante Kotoko | 0.9 | 1.2 | 7 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Heart of Lions sit 14th in Premier League (45 points from 34 matches) and Asante Kotoko sit 8th (49 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Asante Kotoko | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 41 | 29 | 49 |
| 14 | Heart of Lions | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 36 | 33 | 45 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Heart of Lions vs Asante Kotoko?
- The Footlab model makes Heart of Lions the favourite at 59%, against 27% for a draw and 14% for Asante Kotoko.
- Where and when is Heart of Lions vs Asante Kotoko played?
- Heart of Lions vs Asante Kotoko is played on January 23, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Kpandu Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 37% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.