Samartex vs Aduana Stars: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 19Kick-off on January 23, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Nsenkyire Sports Arena, Samreboi
The Footlab model makes Samartex the favourite at 49%, against 34% for a draw and 17% for Aduana Stars. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Samartex vs Aduana Stars?
A very open match: only 7 Elo points separate Samartex (1,580) and Aduana Stars (1,573).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Samartex have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Aduana Stars have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Young Apostles(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| May 17, 2026 | Hearts of Oak(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| May 10, 2026 | Heart of Lions(away) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| May 6, 2026 | Bibiani Gold Stars(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| May 3, 2026 | Basake Holy Stars(home) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 18, 2026 | Basake Holy Stars(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 24, 2026 | Vision(away) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| May 17, 2026 | Young Apostles(home) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| May 10, 2026 | Hearts of Oak(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| May 6, 2026 | Basake Holy Stars(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Samartex win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Aduana Stars win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2026 | Aduana Stars 0-0 Samartex | Premier League |
| Oct 6, 2025 | Samartex 1-0 Aduana Stars | Premier League |
| Aug 28, 2025 | Samartex 0-1 Aduana Stars | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 1, 2025 | Samartex 2-1 Aduana Stars | Premier League |
| Jan 5, 2025 | Aduana Stars 0-1 Samartex | Premier League |
| Feb 26, 2024 | Aduana Stars 1-2 Samartex | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Aduana Stars vs Samartex on Feb 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Samartex score 0.7 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Aduana Stars score 0.7 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 24% probability of over 2.5 goals and 29% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samartex | 0.7 | 1.0 | 6 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
| Aduana Stars | 0.7 | 0.8 | 7 | 3/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Samartex sit 5th in Premier League (50 points from 34 matches) and Aduana Stars sit 6th (50 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Samartex | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 26 | 25 | 50 |
| 6 | Aduana Stars | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 29 | 24 | 50 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Samartex vs Aduana Stars?
- The Footlab model makes Samartex the favourite at 49%, against 34% for a draw and 17% for Aduana Stars.
- Where and when is Samartex vs Aduana Stars played?
- Samartex vs Aduana Stars is played on January 23, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Nsenkyire Sports Arena, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 24% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 23, 2027DreamsvsBerekum Chelsea
- Jan 23, 2027Bechem UnitedvsKarela
- Jan 23, 2027Hearts of OakvsBibiani Gold Stars
- Jan 23, 2027Heart of LionsvsAsante Kotoko
- Jan 23, 2027Debibi UnitedvsSwedru All Blacks
- Jan 23, 2027Basake Holy StarsvsYoung Apostles
- Jan 23, 2027VisionvsAshanti Gold
- Jan 23, 2027Port CityvsMedeama