Heart of Lions vs Berekum Chelsea: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 7Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Kpandu Stadium, Kpandu
The Footlab model makes Heart of Lions the favourite at 59%, against 27% for a draw and 13% for Berekum Chelsea. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Heart of Lions vs Berekum Chelsea?
A very open match: only 16 Elo points separate Heart of Lions (1,580) and Berekum Chelsea (1,595).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Heart of Lions have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Berekum Chelsea have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Medeama(away) | 2-5 | Premier League |
| May 10, 2026 | Samartex(home) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| May 6, 2026 | Nations(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| May 3, 2026 | Aduana Stars(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Karela(away) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Bechem United(home) | 3-2 | Premier League |
| May 17, 2026 | Eleven Wonders(away) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| May 10, 2026 | Dreams(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| May 6, 2026 | Medeama(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Samartex(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Heart of Lions win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Berekum Chelsea win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2026 | Berekum Chelsea 2-1 Heart of Lions | Premier League |
| Nov 9, 2025 | Heart of Lions 1-0 Berekum Chelsea | Premier League |
| Apr 13, 2025 | Berekum Chelsea 1-0 Heart of Lions | Premier League |
| Nov 10, 2024 | Heart of Lions 1-0 Berekum Chelsea | Premier League |
| Jun 16, 2024 | Berekum Chelsea 2-2 Heart of Lions | Premier League |
| Dec 31, 2023 | Heart of Lions 2-0 Berekum Chelsea | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Berekum Chelsea vs Heart of Lions on Feb 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Heart of Lions score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Berekum Chelsea score 1.1 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 34% probability of over 2.5 goals and 34% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heart of Lions | 1.3 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Berekum Chelsea | 1.1 | 0.8 | 7 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Heart of Lions sit 14th in Premier League (45 points from 34 matches) and Berekum Chelsea sit 7th (50 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Berekum Chelsea | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 35 | 33 | 50 |
| 14 | Heart of Lions | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 36 | 33 | 45 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Heart of Lions vs Berekum Chelsea?
- The Footlab model makes Heart of Lions the favourite at 59%, against 27% for a draw and 13% for Berekum Chelsea.
- Where and when is Heart of Lions vs Berekum Chelsea played?
- Heart of Lions vs Berekum Chelsea is played on October 17, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Kpandu Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 34% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.