Samartex vs Medeama: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 7Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Nsenkyire Sports Arena, Samreboi
The Footlab model makes Samartex the favourite at 43%, against 31% for a draw and 26% for Medeama. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Samartex vs Medeama?
A very open match: only 80 Elo points separate Samartex (1,581) and Medeama (1,661).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Samartex have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Medeama have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Young Apostles(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| May 17, 2026 | Hearts of Oak(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| May 10, 2026 | Heart of Lions(away) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| May 6, 2026 | Bibiani Gold Stars(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| May 3, 2026 | Basake Holy Stars(home) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2026 | ASEC Mimosas(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | SOA(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 27, 2026 | Basake Holy Stars(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 24, 2026 | Hearts of Oak(away) | 2-4 | Premier League |
| May 17, 2026 | Heart of Lions(home) | 5-2 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Samartex win(s), 4 draw(s), 0 Medeama win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2026 | Samartex 0-0 Medeama | Premier League |
| Feb 7, 2026 | Medeama 0-0 Samartex | Cup |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Medeama 1-1 Samartex | Premier League |
| Mar 19, 2025 | Samartex 2-1 Medeama | Premier League |
| Oct 9, 2024 | Medeama 0-0 Samartex | Premier League |
| Apr 7, 2024 | Samartex 1-0 Medeama | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Samartex score 0.7 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Medeama score 2.0 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 36% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samartex | 0.7 | 1.0 | 6 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
| Medeama | 2.0 | 1.3 | 5 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Samartex sit 5th in Premier League (50 points from 34 matches) and Medeama sit 1st (62 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Medeama | 34 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 52 | 28 | 62 |
| 5 | Samartex | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 26 | 25 | 50 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Samartex vs Medeama?
- The Footlab model makes Samartex the favourite at 43%, against 31% for a draw and 26% for Medeama.
- Where and when is Samartex vs Medeama played?
- Samartex vs Medeama is played on October 17, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Nsenkyire Sports Arena, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 36% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 17, 2026Asante KotokovsYoung Apostles
- Oct 17, 2026Aduana StarsvsAshanti Gold
- Oct 17, 2026Heart of LionsvsBerekum Chelsea
- Oct 17, 2026Debibi UnitedvsBibiani Gold Stars
- Oct 17, 2026Swedru All BlacksvsKarela
- Oct 17, 2026Basake Holy StarsvsBechem United
- Oct 17, 2026VisionvsHearts of Oak
- Oct 17, 2026Port CityvsDreams