Where and when is Heart of Lions vs Karela played?

Heart of Lions vs Karela is played on May 22, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Kpandu Stadium, in the Premier League.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 35% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Heart of Lions vs Karela: prediction and stats

Premier LeagueRegular Season - 33Kick-off on May 22, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Kpandu Stadium, Kpandu

Heart of Lions

Karela

The Footlab model makes Heart of Lions the favourite at 61%, against 26% for a draw and 13% for Karela. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Heart of Lions vs Karela?

A very open match: only 11 Elo points separate Heart of Lions (1,580) and Karela (1,569).

Heart of Lions win61 %

Draw26 %

Karela win13 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Heart of Lions have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Karela have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Heart of Lions
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 17, 2026	Medeama(away)	2-5	Premier League
May 10, 2026	Samartex(home)	3-0	Premier League
May 6, 2026	Nations(home)	0-1	Premier League
May 3, 2026	Aduana Stars(away)	0-0	Premier League
Apr 12, 2026	Karela(away)	2-2	Premier League

Karela
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 24, 2026	Nations(home)	0-1	Premier League
May 17, 2026	Swedru All Blacks(home)	1-0	Premier League
May 10, 2026	Vision(away)	0-3	Premier League
May 6, 2026	Hearts of Oak(away)	0-0	Premier League
May 3, 2026	Young Apostles(home)	2-1	Premier League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Heart of Lions win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Karela win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 12, 2026	Karela 2-2 Heart of Lions	Premier League
Nov 30, 2025	Heart of Lions 0-0 Karela	Premier League
Mar 16, 2025	Heart of Lions 1-0 Karela	Premier League
Oct 20, 2024	Karela 1-0 Heart of Lions	Premier League
Apr 7, 2024	Karela 1-0 Heart of Lions	Premier League
Oct 29, 2023	Heart of Lions 0-0 Karela	Premier League

Last archived meeting: Karela vs Heart of Lions on Apr 12, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Heart of Lions score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Karela score 0.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 35% probability of over 2.5 goals and 35% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Heart of Lions	1.3	1.3	5	7/15	8/15
Karela	0.9	0.9	8	3/15	4/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Heart of Lions sit 14th in Premier League (45 points from 34 matches) and Karela sit 9th (49 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
9	Karela	34	13	10	11	32	33	49
14	Heart of Lions	34	12	9	13	36	33	45

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Heart of Lions vs Karela?: The Footlab model makes Heart of Lions the favourite at 61%, against 26% for a draw and 13% for Karela.
Where and when is Heart of Lions vs Karela played?: Heart of Lions vs Karela is played on May 22, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Kpandu Stadium, in the Premier League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 35% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.