Match

Heart of Lions vs Samartex: prediction and stats

Premier LeagueRegular Season - 34Kick-off on May 29, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Kpandu Stadium, Kpandu

Heart of LionsSamartex

The Footlab model makes Heart of Lions the favourite at 60%, against 27% for a draw and 13% for Samartex. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Heart of Lions vs Samartex?

A very open match: only 1 Elo points separate Heart of Lions (1,580) and Samartex (1,581).

Heart of Lions win60 %
Draw27 %
Samartex win13 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Heart of Lions have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Samartex have 4, 5 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Heart of Lions
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 17, 2026Medeama(away)2-5Premier League
May 10, 2026Samartex(home)3-0Premier League
May 6, 2026Nations(home)0-1Premier League
May 3, 2026Aduana Stars(away)0-0Premier League
Apr 12, 2026Karela(away)2-2Premier League
Samartex
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 24, 2026Young Apostles(away)0-2Premier League
May 17, 2026Hearts of Oak(home)1-0Premier League
May 10, 2026Heart of Lions(away)0-3Premier League
May 6, 2026Bibiani Gold Stars(away)0-2Premier League
May 3, 2026Basake Holy Stars(home)3-1Premier League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Heart of Lions win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Samartex win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 10, 2026Heart of Lions 3-0 SamartexPremier League
Dec 21, 2025Samartex 1-0 Heart of LionsPremier League
May 4, 2025Heart of Lions 2-1 SamartexPremier League
Dec 14, 2024Samartex 0-1 Heart of LionsPremier League
May 26, 2024Heart of Lions 2-0 SamartexPremier League
Dec 10, 2023Samartex 2-0 Heart of LionsPremier League

Last archived meeting: Heart of Lions vs Samartex on May 10, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Heart of Lions score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Samartex score 0.7 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 33% probability of over 2.5 goals and 33% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Heart of Lions1.31.357/158/15
Samartex0.71.064/155/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Heart of Lions sit 14th in Premier League (45 points from 34 matches) and Samartex sit 5th (50 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Samartex34131110262550
14Heart of Lions3412913363345

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Heart of Lions vs Samartex?
The Footlab model makes Heart of Lions the favourite at 60%, against 27% for a draw and 13% for Samartex.
Where and when is Heart of Lions vs Samartex played?
Heart of Lions vs Samartex is played on May 29, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Kpandu Stadium, in the Premier League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 33% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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