Match

Hearts of Oak vs Medeama: prediction and stats

Premier LeagueRegular Season - 34Kick-off on May 29, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Accra Sports Stadium, Accra

Hearts of OakMedeama

The Footlab model makes Hearts of Oak the favourite at 49%, against 30% for a draw and 21% for Medeama. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Hearts of Oak vs Medeama?

A very open match: only 24 Elo points separate Hearts of Oak (1,637) and Medeama (1,661).

Hearts of Oak win49 %
Draw30 %
Medeama win21 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hearts of Oak have 5 wins, 7 draws and 3 defeats; Medeama have 8, 1 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Hearts of Oak
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 24, 2026Medeama(home)4-2Premier League
May 17, 2026Samartex(away)0-1Premier League
May 10, 2026Aduana Stars(home)0-0Premier League
May 6, 2026Karela(home)0-0Premier League
May 3, 2026Nations(away)1-0Premier League
Medeama
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 12, 2026ASEC Mimosas(away)2-1Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026SOA(away)1-2Friendlies Clubs
May 27, 2026Basake Holy Stars(home)2-1Friendlies Clubs
May 24, 2026Hearts of Oak(away)2-4Premier League
May 17, 2026Heart of Lions(home)5-2Premier League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Hearts of Oak win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Medeama win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 24, 2026Hearts of Oak 4-2 MedeamaPremier League
Jan 4, 2026Medeama 1-0 Hearts of OakPremier League
Apr 6, 2025Hearts of Oak 1-0 MedeamaPremier League
Nov 1, 2024Medeama 0-2 Hearts of OakPremier League
Apr 10, 2024Medeama 2-0 Hearts of OakPremier League
Nov 1, 2023Hearts of Oak 3-1 MedeamaPremier League

Last archived meeting: Hearts of Oak vs Medeama on May 24, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Hearts of Oak score 0.9 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Medeama score 2.0 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 33% probability of over 2.5 goals and 39% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Hearts of Oak0.90.5103/154/15
Medeama2.01.3510/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Hearts of Oak sit 3rd in Premier League (54 points from 34 matches) and Medeama sit 1st (62 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Medeama3417116522862
3Hearts of Oak3413156251554

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Hearts of Oak vs Medeama?
The Footlab model makes Hearts of Oak the favourite at 49%, against 30% for a draw and 21% for Medeama.
Where and when is Hearts of Oak vs Medeama played?
Hearts of Oak vs Medeama is played on May 29, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Accra Sports Stadium, in the Premier League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 33% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Ready to know everything about football?