Hearts of Oak vs Medeama: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 34Kick-off on May 29, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Accra Sports Stadium, Accra
The Footlab model makes Hearts of Oak the favourite at 49%, against 30% for a draw and 21% for Medeama. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hearts of Oak vs Medeama?
A very open match: only 24 Elo points separate Hearts of Oak (1,637) and Medeama (1,661).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hearts of Oak have 5 wins, 7 draws and 3 defeats; Medeama have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Medeama(home) | 4-2 | Premier League |
| May 17, 2026 | Samartex(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| May 10, 2026 | Aduana Stars(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| May 6, 2026 | Karela(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| May 3, 2026 | Nations(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2026 | ASEC Mimosas(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | SOA(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 27, 2026 | Basake Holy Stars(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 24, 2026 | Hearts of Oak(away) | 2-4 | Premier League |
| May 17, 2026 | Heart of Lions(home) | 5-2 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Hearts of Oak win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Medeama win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Hearts of Oak 4-2 Medeama | Premier League |
| Jan 4, 2026 | Medeama 1-0 Hearts of Oak | Premier League |
| Apr 6, 2025 | Hearts of Oak 1-0 Medeama | Premier League |
| Nov 1, 2024 | Medeama 0-2 Hearts of Oak | Premier League |
| Apr 10, 2024 | Medeama 2-0 Hearts of Oak | Premier League |
| Nov 1, 2023 | Hearts of Oak 3-1 Medeama | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Hearts of Oak vs Medeama on May 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Hearts of Oak score 0.9 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Medeama score 2.0 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 33% probability of over 2.5 goals and 39% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hearts of Oak | 0.9 | 0.5 | 10 | 3/15 | 4/15 |
| Medeama | 2.0 | 1.3 | 5 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hearts of Oak sit 3rd in Premier League (54 points from 34 matches) and Medeama sit 1st (62 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Medeama | 34 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 52 | 28 | 62 |
| 3 | Hearts of Oak | 34 | 13 | 15 | 6 | 25 | 15 | 54 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hearts of Oak vs Medeama?
- The Footlab model makes Hearts of Oak the favourite at 49%, against 30% for a draw and 21% for Medeama.
- Where and when is Hearts of Oak vs Medeama played?
- Hearts of Oak vs Medeama is played on May 29, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Accra Sports Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 33% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- May 29, 2027DreamsvsAshanti Gold
- May 29, 2027Bechem UnitedvsBerekum Chelsea
- May 29, 2027Heart of LionsvsSamartex
- May 29, 2027Bibiani Gold StarsvsKarela
- May 29, 2027Debibi UnitedvsAduana Stars
- May 29, 2027Basake Holy StarsvsAsante Kotoko
- May 29, 2027VisionvsSwedru All Blacks
- May 29, 2027Port CityvsYoung Apostles