Hearts of Oak vs Samartex: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 28Kick-off on April 10, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Accra Sports Stadium, Accra
The Footlab model makes Hearts of Oak the favourite at 58%, against 30% for a draw and 12% for Samartex. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hearts of Oak vs Samartex?
A very open match: only 56 Elo points separate Hearts of Oak (1,637) and Samartex (1,581).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hearts of Oak have 5 wins, 7 draws and 3 defeats; Samartex have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Medeama(home) | 4-2 | Premier League |
| May 17, 2026 | Samartex(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| May 10, 2026 | Aduana Stars(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| May 6, 2026 | Karela(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| May 3, 2026 | Nations(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Young Apostles(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| May 17, 2026 | Hearts of Oak(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| May 10, 2026 | Heart of Lions(away) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| May 6, 2026 | Bibiani Gold Stars(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| May 3, 2026 | Basake Holy Stars(home) | 3-1 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Hearts of Oak win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Samartex win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Samartex 1-0 Hearts of Oak | Premier League |
| Dec 26, 2025 | Hearts of Oak 1-0 Samartex | Premier League |
| Jun 8, 2025 | Hearts of Oak 1-0 Samartex | Premier League |
| Jan 19, 2025 | Samartex 0-0 Hearts of Oak | Premier League |
| Mar 23, 2024 | Samartex 2-1 Hearts of Oak | Premier League |
| Oct 21, 2023 | Hearts of Oak 0-0 Samartex | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Samartex vs Hearts of Oak on May 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Hearts of Oak score 0.9 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Samartex score 0.7 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 25% probability of over 2.5 goals and 26% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hearts of Oak | 0.9 | 0.5 | 10 | 3/15 | 4/15 |
| Samartex | 0.7 | 1.0 | 6 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hearts of Oak sit 3rd in Premier League (54 points from 34 matches) and Samartex sit 5th (50 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Hearts of Oak | 34 | 13 | 15 | 6 | 25 | 15 | 54 |
| 5 | Samartex | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 26 | 25 | 50 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hearts of Oak vs Samartex?
- The Footlab model makes Hearts of Oak the favourite at 58%, against 30% for a draw and 12% for Samartex.
- Where and when is Hearts of Oak vs Samartex played?
- Hearts of Oak vs Samartex is played on April 10, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Accra Sports Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 25% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 10, 2027DreamsvsHeart of Lions
- Apr 10, 2027Bechem UnitedvsAduana Stars
- Apr 10, 2027Berekum ChelseavsSwedru All Blacks
- Apr 10, 2027KarelavsAshanti Gold
- Apr 10, 2027MedeamavsYoung Apostles
- Apr 10, 2027Bibiani Gold StarsvsAsante Kotoko
- Apr 10, 2027VisionvsBasake Holy Stars
- Apr 10, 2027Port CityvsDebibi United