Aduana Stars vs Hearts of Oak: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 29Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Agyeman Badu Stadium, Dormaa Ahenkro
The Footlab model makes Aduana Stars the favourite at 43%, against 36% for a draw and 20% for Hearts of Oak. The most likely score is 0-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Aduana Stars vs Hearts of Oak?
A very open match: only 63 Elo points separate Aduana Stars (1,574) and Hearts of Oak (1,637).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aduana Stars have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Hearts of Oak have 5, 7 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 18, 2026 | Basake Holy Stars(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 24, 2026 | Vision(away) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| May 17, 2026 | Young Apostles(home) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| May 10, 2026 | Hearts of Oak(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| May 6, 2026 | Basake Holy Stars(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Medeama(home) | 4-2 | Premier League |
| May 17, 2026 | Samartex(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| May 10, 2026 | Aduana Stars(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| May 6, 2026 | Karela(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| May 3, 2026 | Nations(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Aduana Stars win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 Hearts of Oak win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Hearts of Oak 0-0 Aduana Stars | Premier League |
| Dec 21, 2025 | Aduana Stars 0-0 Hearts of Oak | Premier League |
| Apr 16, 2025 | Aduana Stars 2-0 Hearts of Oak | Premier League |
| Oct 4, 2024 | Hearts of Oak 0-0 Aduana Stars | Premier League |
| May 19, 2024 | Hearts of Oak 0-1 Aduana Stars | Premier League |
| Dec 3, 2023 | Aduana Stars 1-0 Hearts of Oak | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Hearts of Oak vs Aduana Stars on May 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Aduana Stars score 0.7 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Hearts of Oak score 0.9 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 21% probability of over 2.5 goals and 28% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aduana Stars | 0.7 | 0.8 | 7 | 3/15 | 5/15 |
| Hearts of Oak | 0.9 | 0.5 | 10 | 3/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Aduana Stars sit 6th in Premier League (50 points from 34 matches) and Hearts of Oak sit 3rd (54 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Hearts of Oak | 34 | 13 | 15 | 6 | 25 | 15 | 54 |
| 6 | Aduana Stars | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 29 | 24 | 50 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Aduana Stars vs Hearts of Oak?
- The Footlab model makes Aduana Stars the favourite at 43%, against 36% for a draw and 20% for Hearts of Oak.
- Where and when is Aduana Stars vs Hearts of Oak played?
- Aduana Stars vs Hearts of Oak is played on April 17, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Agyeman Badu Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 21% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 17, 2027Asante KotokovsBechem United
- Apr 17, 2027Ashanti GoldvsMedeama
- Apr 17, 2027Heart of LionsvsPort City
- Apr 17, 2027SamartexvsDreams
- Apr 17, 2027Debibi UnitedvsVision
- Apr 17, 2027Swedru All BlacksvsBibiani Gold Stars
- Apr 17, 2027Basake Holy StarsvsKarela
- Apr 17, 2027Young ApostlesvsBerekum Chelsea