Where and when is HEBC vs Borussia Dortmund played?

HEBC vs Borussia Dortmund is played on September 1, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Professor-Reinmüller-Platz, in the DFB Pokal.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 74% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

HEBC vs Borussia Dortmund: prediction and stats

DFB PokalRound of 64Kick-off on September 1, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Professor-Reinmüller-Platz, Hamburg

HEBC

Borussia Dortmund

The Footlab model makes Borussia Dortmund the favourite at 84%, against 11% for a draw and 5% for HEBC. The most likely score is 0-3.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 18, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win HEBC vs Borussia Dortmund?

Borussia Dortmund is a heavy favourite: 2,285 Elo points against 1,726 — a 558-point gap.

HEBC win5 %

Draw11 %

Borussia Dortmund win84 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, HEBC have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Borussia Dortmund have 9, 1 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

HEBC
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 16, 2026	HT16(home)	0-1	Oberliga - Hamburg
Jul 31, 2026	Concordia(away)	2-0	Oberliga - Hamburg
Jul 26, 2026	Niendorfer TSV(home)	0-3	Oberliga - Hamburg
May 15, 2026	Tus Dassendorf(away)	1-2	Oberliga - Hamburg
May 10, 2026	ETSV Hamburg(home)	0-4	Oberliga - Hamburg

Borussia Dortmund
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 15, 2026	AS Roma(home)	2-2	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 9, 2026	Arsenal(away)	3-2	Emirates Cup
Aug 1, 2026	FC Tokyo(away)	1-0	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 29, 2026	Cerezo Osaka(away)	0-1	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026	Fortuna Düsseldorf(away)	1-2	Friendlies Clubs

How many goals should we expect?

HEBC score 1.3 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Borussia Dortmund score 1.8 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 74% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
HEBC	1.3	1.4	4	7/15	9/15
Borussia Dortmund	1.8	1.1	5	7/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for HEBC vs Borussia Dortmund?: The Footlab model makes Borussia Dortmund the favourite at 84%, against 11% for a draw and 5% for HEBC.
Where and when is HEBC vs Borussia Dortmund played?: HEBC vs Borussia Dortmund is played on September 1, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Professor-Reinmüller-Platz, in the DFB Pokal.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 74% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.