Heeslinger SC vs Bersenbrück: prediction and stats
Oberliga - NiedersachsenNiedersachsen - 4Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Waldstadion, Heeslingen
The Footlab model makes Heeslinger SC the favourite at 77%, against 13% for a draw and 10% for Bersenbrück. The most likely score is 3-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Heeslinger SC vs Bersenbrück?
Heeslinger SC starts as the favourite with a 148-point Elo edge (1,871 vs 1,723).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Heeslinger SC have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Bersenbrück have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Meppen II(away) | 5-3 | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Eintracht Braunschw. II(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Hemmingen(away) | 3-0 | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Bremer SV(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 14, 2026 | VfB Oldenburg(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Wilhelmshaven(away) | 0-1 | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Schwarz-Weiß Rehden(home) | 0-0 | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Atlas Delmenhorst(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 8, 2026 | HSC Hannover(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 17, 2026 | Holthausen-Biene(away) | 3-3 | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Heeslinger SC win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Bersenbrück win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2025 | Bersenbrück 3-0 Heeslinger SC | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Heeslinger SC 3-0 Bersenbrück | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
| Feb 23, 2025 | Heeslinger SC 5-2 Bersenbrück | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
| Oct 30, 2024 | Bersenbrück 2-1 Heeslinger SC | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
| Apr 27, 2024 | Bersenbrück 4-1 Heeslinger SC | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
| Oct 28, 2023 | Heeslinger SC 3-1 Bersenbrück | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
Last archived meeting: Bersenbrück vs Heeslinger SC on Dec 6, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Heeslinger SC score 2.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Bersenbrück score 1.5 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 81% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heeslinger SC | 2.4 | 1.3 | 6 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Bersenbrück | 1.5 | 2.3 | 1 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Heeslinger SC sit 1st in Oberliga - Niedersachsen (7 points from 3 matches) and Bersenbrück sit 12th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heeslinger SC | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 7 |
| 12 | Bersenbrück | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Heeslinger SC vs Bersenbrück?
- The Footlab model makes Heeslinger SC the favourite at 77%, against 13% for a draw and 10% for Bersenbrück.
- Where and when is Heeslinger SC vs Bersenbrück played?
- Heeslinger SC vs Bersenbrück is played on August 30, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Waldstadion, in the Oberliga - Niedersachsen.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 81% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.