Nordhorn vs Wilhelmshaven: prediction and stats
Oberliga - NiedersachsenNiedersachsen - 4Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Wilhelmshaven the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Nordhorn. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nordhorn vs Wilhelmshaven?
A very open match: only 70 Elo points separate Nordhorn (1,748) and Wilhelmshaven (1,818).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 4 matches in all competitions, Nordhorn have 2 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats; Wilhelmshaven have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | BW Lohne(home) | 0-3 | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Borussia Hildesheim(away) | 2-0 | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Drochtersen/Assel II(home) | 2-0 | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
| Jul 24, 2026 | VfL Osnabrück(home) | 0-7 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Germania Egestorf(away) | 2-0 | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Bersenbrück(home) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Meppen II(away) | 2-0 | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
| May 17, 2026 | Atlas Delmenhorst(home) | 0-1 | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
| May 13, 2026 | Wetschen(away) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
How many goals should we expect?
Nordhorn score 1.0 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 4; Wilhelmshaven score 1.4 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nordhorn | 1.0 | 2.5 | 2 | 0/4 | 2/4 |
| Wilhelmshaven | 1.4 | 1.1 | 7 | 3/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 4 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nordhorn sit 5th in Oberliga - Niedersachsen (6 points from 3 matches) and Wilhelmshaven sit 1st (9 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wilhelmshaven | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 9 |
| 5 | Nordhorn | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nordhorn vs Wilhelmshaven?
- The Footlab model makes Wilhelmshaven the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Nordhorn.
- Where and when is Nordhorn vs Wilhelmshaven played?
- Nordhorn vs Wilhelmshaven is played on September 5, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC), in the Oberliga - Niedersachsen.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.