Hennef 05 vs Hürth: prediction and stats
Oberliga - MittelrheinMittelrhein - 16Kick-off on February 21, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadion im Sportzentrum Hennef, Hennef
The Footlab model makes Hennef 05 the favourite at 43%, against 23% for a draw and 34% for Hürth. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hennef 05 vs Hürth?
A very open match: only 6 Elo points separate Hennef 05 (1,698) and Hürth (1,692).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hennef 05 have 7 wins, 0 draws and 8 defeats; Hürth have 1, 6 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 7, 2026 | Bornheim(home) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 31, 2026 | Siegburger SV(away) | 0-3 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 25, 2026 | Teutonia Weiden(home) | 4-1 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 17, 2026 | Porz(away) | 5-1 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 10, 2026 | Wegberg-Beeck(home) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2026 | SF Baumberg(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 15, 2025 | Porz(away) | 3-3 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Jun 9, 2025 | Frechen(home) | 2-3 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Jun 1, 2025 | VfL Vichttal(away) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 25, 2025 | Bergisch Gladbach(home) | 0-0 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Hennef 05 win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Hürth win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2025 | Hennef 05 0-0 Hürth | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Sep 1, 2024 | Hürth 0-0 Hennef 05 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Mar 10, 2024 | Hennef 05 0-2 Hürth | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Sep 17, 2023 | Hürth 1-5 Hennef 05 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Mar 12, 2023 | Hürth 1-6 Hennef 05 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Aug 27, 2022 | Hennef 05 2-0 Hürth | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
How many goals should we expect?
Hennef 05 score 1.8 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Hürth score 1.0 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hennef 05 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 3 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Hürth | 1.0 | 2.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Hennef 05 | 30 | 11 | 2 | 17 | 45 | 66 | 35 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hennef 05 vs Hürth?
- The Footlab model makes Hennef 05 the favourite at 43%, against 23% for a draw and 34% for Hürth.
- Where and when is Hennef 05 vs Hürth played?
- Hennef 05 vs Hürth is played on February 21, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion im Sportzentrum Hennef, in the Oberliga - Mittelrhein.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.