Heraclea vs Paganese: result 1-2 and analysis
Serie D - Girone HGroup H - 19Kick-off on January 11, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Pino Zaccheria, Foggia
Full time
What was the result of Heraclea vs Paganese?
Paganese won 1-2 on January 11, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 7′Ander El HaddadiPaganese
- 45′V. LabriolaPaganese
- 52′633946Heraclea
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Heraclea have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Paganese have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2026 | Real Normanna(away) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Dec 21, 2025 | Ferrandina(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Dec 14, 2025 | Martina Franca(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Dec 7, 2025 | Barletta(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Nov 29, 2025 | Pompei(home) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2026 | Nardò(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Dec 21, 2025 | Città di Fasano(home) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Dec 14, 2025 | Nola 1925(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Dec 7, 2025 | Gravina(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Nov 30, 2025 | Afragolese(away) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone H |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Heraclea win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Paganese win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 14, 2025 | Paganese 0-1 Heraclea | Serie D - Girone H |
How many goals should we expect?
Heraclea score 0.9 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Paganese score 0.9 and concede 0.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heraclea | 0.9 | 1.0 | 5 | 5/15 | 3/15 |
| Paganese | 0.9 | 0.6 | 8 | 5/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Heraclea sit 15th in Serie D - Girone H (38 points from 34 matches) and Paganese sit 4th (58 points from 34 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Paganese | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 36 | 32 | 58 |
| 15 | Heraclea | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 31 | 39 | 38 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy