Paganese vs Heraclea: result 0-1 and analysis
Serie D - Girone HGroup H - 2Kick-off on September 14, 2025 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Marcello Torre, Pagani
Full time
What was the result of Paganese vs Heraclea?
Heraclea won 0-1 on September 14, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 45′624008Heraclea
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Paganese have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Heraclea have 2, 1 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 7, 2025 | Nardò(away) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Aug 31, 2025 | Ischia(home) | 2-0 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| May 4, 2025 | Latte Dolce(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Ilvamaddalena(away) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Apr 17, 2025 | Atletico Uri(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 7, 2025 | Real Normanna(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Aug 31, 2025 | Termoli Calcio(home) | 0-0 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Aug 24, 2025 | Manfredonia(home) | 2-1 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
How many goals should we expect?
Paganese score 1.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Heraclea score 1.0 and concede 0.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paganese | 1.3 | 0.9 | 6 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Heraclea | 1.0 | 0.3 | 2 | 1/3 | 1/3 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Paganese sit 4th in Serie D - Girone H (58 points from 34 matches) and Heraclea sit 15th (38 points from 34 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Paganese | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 36 | 32 | 58 |
| 15 | Heraclea | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 31 | 39 | 38 |
A question about Paganese vs Heraclea?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy