Heracles vs Arouca: result 1-1 and analysis
UEFA Europa League3rd Qualifying RoundKick-off on July 28, 2016 at 04:45 PM (UTC)Erve Asito, Almelo
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What was the result of Heracles vs Arouca?
Heracles and Arouca drew 1-1 on July 28, 2016.
Goalscorers
- 53′P. GladonHeracles
- 90′W. GonzálezArouca
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Heracles have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Arouca have 8, 6 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 22, 2016 | Utrecht(away) | 2-0 | Eredivisie |
| May 19, 2016 | Utrecht(home) | 1-1 | Eredivisie |
| May 15, 2016 | Groningen(home) | 5-1 | Eredivisie |
| May 12, 2016 | Groningen(away) | 1-2 | Eredivisie |
| May 8, 2016 | Groningen(away) | 1-2 | Eredivisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 14, 2016 | Guimaraes(home) | 2-2 | Primeira Liga |
| May 9, 2016 | Estoril(away) | 1-1 | Primeira Liga |
| May 1, 2016 | Nacional(home) | 3-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Apr 24, 2016 | Maritimo(away) | 2-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Apr 16, 2016 | Rio Ave(home) | 0-0 | Primeira Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Heracles score 1.5 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Arouca score 1.5 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heracles | 1.5 | 1.4 | 2 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
| Arouca | 1.5 | 0.9 | 8 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Other matches in the same round
- Jul 28, 2016AEK Larnaca1-1Spartak Moscow
- Jul 28, 2016Oleksandria0-3HNK Hajduk Split
- Jul 28, 2016Austria Vienna0-1Spartak Trnava
- Jul 28, 2016Zaglebie Lubin1-2Sonderjyske
- Jul 28, 2016IFK Goteborg1-2HJK Helsinki
- Jul 28, 2016Torpedo Zhodino0-0Rapid Vienna
- Jul 28, 2016Slavia Praha0-0Rio Ave
- Jul 28, 2016Lille1-1Qabala