Heracles vs Excelsior: result 4-5 and analysis
EredivisieRegular Season - 34Kick-off on May 12, 2019 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Erve Asito, Almelo
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What was the result of Heracles vs Excelsior?
Excelsior won 4-5 on May 12, 2019.
Goalscorers
- 4′E. ÓmarssonExcelsior
- 23′Adrián DalmauHeracles
- 45′E. ÓmarssonExcelsior
- 51′Adrián DalmauHeracles
- 59′Adrián DalmauHeracles
- 62′L. DuarteHeracles
- 71′J. MattheijExcelsior
- 89′D. Eckert AyensaExcelsior
- 90′E. ÓmarssonExcelsior
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Heracles have 7 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats; Excelsior have 3, 2 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 23, 2019 | AZ Alkmaar(away) | 1-2 | Eredivisie |
| Apr 19, 2019 | Heerenveen(home) | 2-1 | Eredivisie |
| Apr 13, 2019 | Feyenoord(away) | 1-2 | Eredivisie |
| Apr 6, 2019 | NAC Breda(home) | 1-0 | Eredivisie |
| Apr 2, 2019 | Willem II(home) | 3-4 | Eredivisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2019 | ADO Den Haag(away) | 1-3 | Eredivisie |
| Apr 21, 2019 | Willem II(home) | 1-1 | Eredivisie |
| Apr 13, 2019 | Ajax(away) | 2-6 | Eredivisie |
| Apr 6, 2019 | Groningen(away) | 0-1 | Eredivisie |
| Apr 3, 2019 | NAC Breda(home) | 1-2 | Eredivisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Heracles win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Excelsior win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 22, 2018 | Excelsior 0-3 Heracles | Eredivisie |
| Apr 18, 2018 | Excelsior 2-2 Heracles | Eredivisie |
| Aug 26, 2017 | Heracles 2-2 Excelsior | Eredivisie |
| Feb 18, 2017 | Heracles 4-0 Excelsior | Eredivisie |
| Sep 21, 2016 | Excelsior 1-3 Heracles | KNVB Beker |
| Sep 10, 2016 | Excelsior 3-1 Heracles | Eredivisie |
Last archived meeting: Excelsior vs Heracles on Dec 22, 2018
How many goals should we expect?
Heracles score 1.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Excelsior score 0.9 and concede 1.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heracles | 1.5 | 1.7 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Excelsior | 0.9 | 1.9 | 2 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Excelsior | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 3 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy