Hércules vs Atlético Madrid II: prediction and stats
Primera División RFEF - Group 2Group 2 - 2Kick-off on September 6, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio José Rico Pérez, Alicante
The Footlab model makes Hércules the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Atlético Madrid II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hércules vs Atlético Madrid II?
A very open match: only 72 Elo points separate Hércules (1,877) and Atlético Madrid II (1,949).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hércules have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Atlético Madrid II have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Alcoyano(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Castellón(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 23, 2026 | Gimnastic(home) | 1-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| May 16, 2026 | Algeciras(away) | 2-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| May 9, 2026 | Ibiza(home) | 2-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 13, 2026 | Mirandes(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Gimnástica Segoviana(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Ponferradina(home) | 0-1 | Primera División RFEF - Play Offs |
| May 30, 2026 | Ponferradina(away) | 0-0 | Primera División RFEF - Play Offs |
| May 23, 2026 | Algeciras(home) | 3-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Hércules win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Atlético Madrid II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | Atlético Madrid II 0-0 Hércules | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 22, 2025 | Hércules 3-0 Atlético Madrid II | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Feb 7, 2025 | Atlético Madrid II 1-0 Hércules | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 26, 2024 | Hércules 1-2 Atlético Madrid II | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
Last archived meeting: Atlético Madrid II vs Hércules on Mar 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Hércules score 1.0 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Atlético Madrid II score 1.9 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hércules | 1.0 | 0.9 | 6 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
| Atlético Madrid II | 1.9 | 1.6 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hércules sit 9th in Primera División RFEF - Group 2 (54 points from 38 matches) and Atlético Madrid II sit 3rd (67 points from 38 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Atlético Madrid II | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 64 | 44 | 67 |
| 9 | Hércules | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 43 | 41 | 54 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hércules vs Atlético Madrid II?
- The Footlab model makes Hércules the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Atlético Madrid II.
- Where and when is Hércules vs Atlético Madrid II played?
- Hércules vs Atlético Madrid II is played on September 6, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio José Rico Pérez, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.