Match

Hertha Wiesbach vs Schott Mainz: prediction and stats

Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / SaarRheinland-Pfalz/Saar - 13Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)ProWin Stadion am Wallenborn, Eppelborn

Hertha WiesbachSchott Mainz

The Footlab model makes Hertha Wiesbach the favourite at 39%, against 22% for a draw and 38% for Schott Mainz. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Hertha Wiesbach vs Schott Mainz?

A very open match: only 90 Elo points separate Hertha Wiesbach (1,754) and Schott Mainz (1,844).

Hertha Wiesbach win39 %
Draw22 %
Schott Mainz win38 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hertha Wiesbach have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Schott Mainz have 7, 1 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Hertha Wiesbach
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Gonsenheim(home)3-1Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar
Aug 14, 2026Auersmacher(away)1-2Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar
Aug 8, 2026Elversberg II(home)1-1Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar
Aug 1, 2026Pirmasens(away)2-6Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar
May 30, 2026FC Emmelshausen-Karbach(away)3-4Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar
Schott Mainz
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Borussia Mönchengladbach(home)0-5DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026FV Engers 07(away)3-1Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar
Aug 12, 2026Cosmos Koblenz(home)4-1Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar
Aug 8, 2026FC Emmelshausen-Karbach(home)2-2Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar
Aug 2, 2026Ahrweiler(away)3-0Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar

How many goals should we expect?

Hertha Wiesbach score 2.1 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Schott Mainz score 1.8 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 73% probability of over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Hertha Wiesbach2.12.1211/1511/15
Schott Mainz1.82.338/1513/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Hertha Wiesbach sit 12th in Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar (4 points from 4 matches) and Schott Mainz sit 2nd (10 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Schott Mainz431012410
12Hertha Wiesbach41127104

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Hertha Wiesbach vs Schott Mainz?
The Footlab model makes Hertha Wiesbach the favourite at 39%, against 22% for a draw and 38% for Schott Mainz.
Where and when is Hertha Wiesbach vs Schott Mainz played?
Hertha Wiesbach vs Schott Mainz is played on October 17, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at ProWin Stadion am Wallenborn, in the Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 73% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Hertha Wiesbach and Schott Mainz

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