Ahrweiler vs Elversberg II: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / SaarRheinland-Pfalz/Saar - 13Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Ahrweiler the favourite at 45%, against 23% for a draw and 32% for Elversberg II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ahrweiler vs Elversberg II?
A very open match: only 2 Elo points separate Ahrweiler (1,504) and Elversberg II (1,501).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 7 matches in all competitions, Ahrweiler have 0 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Elversberg II have 3, 2 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Gau-Odernheim(away) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
| Aug 14, 2026 | FC Emmelshausen-Karbach(home) | 2-3 | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
| Aug 8, 2026 | RW Wittlich(away) | 0-2 | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Schott Mainz(home) | 0-3 | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Eintracht Trier(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Mechtersheim(away) | 2-5 | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Wormatia Worms(home) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Hertha Wiesbach(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
| Aug 1, 2026 | TuS Koblenz(home) | 0-2 | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Victoria Rosport(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Ahrweiler score 0.7 and concede 2.4 goals per match over their last 7; Elversberg II score 1.1 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ahrweiler | 0.7 | 2.4 | 0 | 4/7 | 4/7 |
| Elversberg II | 1.1 | 2.5 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 7 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ahrweiler sit 17th in Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar (0 points from 4 matches) and Elversberg II sit 14th (4 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Elversberg II | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 4 |
| 17 | Ahrweiler | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ahrweiler vs Elversberg II?
- The Footlab model makes Ahrweiler the favourite at 45%, against 23% for a draw and 32% for Elversberg II.
- Where and when is Ahrweiler vs Elversberg II played?
- Ahrweiler vs Elversberg II is played on October 18, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC), in the Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 17, 2026TuS KoblenzvsFC Emmelshausen-Karbach
- Oct 17, 2026Wormatia WormsvsEisbachtal
- Oct 17, 2026AuersmachervsPirmasens
- Oct 17, 2026Hertha WiesbachvsSchott Mainz
- Oct 17, 2026MechtersheimvsDiefflen
- Oct 17, 2026GonsenheimvsTuS RW Koblenz
- Oct 17, 2026RW WittlichvsCosmos Koblenz
- Oct 18, 2026Gau-OdernheimvsFV Engers 07