Match

Ahrweiler vs Elversberg II: prediction and stats

Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / SaarRheinland-Pfalz/Saar - 13Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)

AhrweilerElversberg II

The Footlab model makes Ahrweiler the favourite at 45%, against 23% for a draw and 32% for Elversberg II. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Ahrweiler vs Elversberg II?

A very open match: only 2 Elo points separate Ahrweiler (1,504) and Elversberg II (1,501).

Ahrweiler win45 %
Draw23 %
Elversberg II win32 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 7 matches in all competitions, Ahrweiler have 0 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Elversberg II have 3, 2 and 10.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Ahrweiler
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Gau-Odernheim(away)1-2Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar
Aug 14, 2026FC Emmelshausen-Karbach(home)2-3Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar
Aug 8, 2026RW Wittlich(away)0-2Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar
Aug 2, 2026Schott Mainz(home)0-3Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar
Jul 25, 2026Eintracht Trier(home)0-1Friendlies Clubs
Elversberg II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Mechtersheim(away)2-5Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar
Aug 14, 2026Wormatia Worms(home)1-0Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar
Aug 8, 2026Hertha Wiesbach(away)1-1Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar
Aug 1, 2026TuS Koblenz(home)0-2Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar
Jan 31, 2026Victoria Rosport(away)1-3Friendlies Clubs

How many goals should we expect?

Ahrweiler score 0.7 and concede 2.4 goals per match over their last 7; Elversberg II score 1.1 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Ahrweiler0.72.404/74/7
Elversberg II1.12.5210/1510/15

Over the last 7 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Ahrweiler sit 17th in Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar (0 points from 4 matches) and Elversberg II sit 14th (4 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
14Elversberg II4112484
17Ahrweiler40043100

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Ahrweiler vs Elversberg II?
The Footlab model makes Ahrweiler the favourite at 45%, against 23% for a draw and 32% for Elversberg II.
Where and when is Ahrweiler vs Elversberg II played?
Ahrweiler vs Elversberg II is played on October 18, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC), in the Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Ahrweiler and Elversberg II

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