HFX Wanderers FC vs Supra du Quebec: prediction and stats
Canadian Premier LeagueGroup StageKick-off on October 25, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Wanderers Grounds, Halifax, Nova Scotia
The Footlab model makes HFX Wanderers FC the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Supra du Quebec. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win HFX Wanderers FC vs Supra du Quebec?
A very open match: only 39 Elo points separate HFX Wanderers FC (1,642) and Supra du Quebec (1,681).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, HFX Wanderers FC have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Supra du Quebec have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Vancouver FC(home) | 1-0 | Canadian Premier League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | York United(away) | 3-4 | Canadian Premier League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Atlético Ottawa(away) | 1-2 | Canadian Premier League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Forge(home) | 0-0 | Canadian Premier League |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Supra du Quebec(home) | 2-3 | Canadian Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | York United(away) | 1-1 | Canadian Premier League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Forge(away) | 2-3 | Canadian Premier League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Atlético Ottawa(home) | 1-2 | Canadian Premier League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Atlético Ottawa(away) | 3-3 | Canadian Championship |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Cavalry FC(home) | 1-1 | Canadian Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 HFX Wanderers FC win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Supra du Quebec win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 24, 2026 | HFX Wanderers FC 2-3 Supra du Quebec | Canadian Premier League |
| Apr 24, 2026 | Supra du Quebec 2-1 HFX Wanderers FC | Canadian Premier League |
Last archived meeting: HFX Wanderers FC vs Supra du Quebec on Jul 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
HFX Wanderers FC score 1.2 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Supra du Quebec score 1.8 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HFX Wanderers FC | 1.2 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Supra du Quebec | 1.8 | 2.1 | 0 | 15/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
HFX Wanderers FC sit 5th in Canadian Premier League (20 points from 19 matches) and Supra du Quebec sit 6th (18 points from 17 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | HFX Wanderers FC | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 25 | 30 | 20 |
| 6 | Supra du Quebec | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 25 | 32 | 18 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for HFX Wanderers FC vs Supra du Quebec?
- The Footlab model makes HFX Wanderers FC the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Supra du Quebec.
- Where and when is HFX Wanderers FC vs Supra du Quebec played?
- HFX Wanderers FC vs Supra du Quebec is played on October 25, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Wanderers Grounds, in the Canadian Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 4, 2026Forge2-0Atlético Ottawa
- Apr 4, 2026Vancouver FC0-1HFX Wanderers FC
- Apr 5, 2026Pacific FC1-2Cavalry FC
- Apr 11, 2026York United2-2HFX Wanderers FC
- Apr 11, 2026Pacific FC2-3Supra du Quebec
- Apr 12, 2026Cavalry FC3-1Atlético Ottawa
- Apr 12, 2026Vancouver FC0-1Forge
- Apr 18, 2026HFX Wanderers FC2-2Pacific FC