Match

HFX Wanderers FC vs Supra du Quebec: prediction and stats

Canadian Premier LeagueGroup StageKick-off on October 25, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Wanderers Grounds, Halifax, Nova Scotia

HFX Wanderers FCSupra du Quebec

The Footlab model makes HFX Wanderers FC the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Supra du Quebec. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win HFX Wanderers FC vs Supra du Quebec?

A very open match: only 39 Elo points separate HFX Wanderers FC (1,642) and Supra du Quebec (1,681).

HFX Wanderers FC win40 %
Draw25 %
Supra du Quebec win35 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, HFX Wanderers FC have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Supra du Quebec have 4, 5 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

HFX Wanderers FC
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Vancouver FC(home)1-0Canadian Premier League
Aug 16, 2026York United(away)3-4Canadian Premier League
Aug 8, 2026Atlético Ottawa(away)1-2Canadian Premier League
Aug 2, 2026Forge(home)0-0Canadian Premier League
Jul 24, 2026Supra du Quebec(home)2-3Canadian Premier League
Supra du Quebec
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026York United(away)1-1Canadian Premier League
Aug 19, 2026Forge(away)2-3Canadian Premier League
Aug 16, 2026Atlético Ottawa(home)1-2Canadian Premier League
Aug 11, 2026Atlético Ottawa(away)3-3Canadian Championship
Aug 9, 2026Cavalry FC(home)1-1Canadian Premier League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 HFX Wanderers FC win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Supra du Quebec win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jul 24, 2026HFX Wanderers FC 2-3 Supra du QuebecCanadian Premier League
Apr 24, 2026Supra du Quebec 2-1 HFX Wanderers FCCanadian Premier League

Last archived meeting: HFX Wanderers FC vs Supra du Quebec on Jul 24, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

HFX Wanderers FC score 1.2 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Supra du Quebec score 1.8 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
HFX Wanderers FC1.21.738/157/15
Supra du Quebec1.82.1015/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

HFX Wanderers FC sit 5th in Canadian Premier League (20 points from 19 matches) and Supra du Quebec sit 6th (18 points from 17 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5HFX Wanderers FC19559253020
6Supra du Quebec17539253218

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for HFX Wanderers FC vs Supra du Quebec?
The Footlab model makes HFX Wanderers FC the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Supra du Quebec.
Where and when is HFX Wanderers FC vs Supra du Quebec played?
HFX Wanderers FC vs Supra du Quebec is played on October 25, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Wanderers Grounds, in the Canadian Premier League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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