Hibernian vs Dundee: prediction and stats
PremiershipRegular Season - 12Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Easter Road Stadium, Edinburgh
The Footlab model makes Hibernian the favourite at 58%, against 24% for a draw and 19% for Dundee. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hibernian vs Dundee?
Hibernian starts as the favourite with a 127-point Elo edge (1,990 vs 1,863).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hibernian have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Dundee have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Gent(away) | 0-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Partick(home) | 1-0 | League Cup |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Shkendija(away) | 0-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Rangers(away) | 2-1 | Premiership |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Shkendija(home) | 2-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Dundee Utd(away) | 2-0 | Premiership |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Aberdeen(away) | 0-3 | League Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Aberdeen(home) | 2-0 | Premiership |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Celtic(away) | 0-1 | Premiership |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Clyde(home) | 4-0 | League Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Hibernian win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Dundee win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | Dundee 3-3 Hibernian | Premiership |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Hibernian 2-0 Dundee | Premiership |
| Aug 3, 2025 | Dundee 1-2 Hibernian | Premiership |
| Apr 13, 2025 | Hibernian 4-0 Dundee | Premiership |
| Nov 23, 2024 | Dundee 4-1 Hibernian | Premiership |
| Aug 24, 2024 | Hibernian 2-2 Dundee | Premiership |
How many goals should we expect?
Hibernian score 1.5 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Dundee score 1.8 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hibernian | 1.5 | 1.0 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Dundee | 1.8 | 1.4 | 5 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hibernian sit 7th in Premiership (3 points from 2 matches) and Dundee sit 2nd (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Dundee | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 6 |
| 7 | Hibernian | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hibernian vs Dundee?
- The Footlab model makes Hibernian the favourite at 58%, against 24% for a draw and 19% for Dundee.
- Where and when is Hibernian vs Dundee played?
- Hibernian vs Dundee is played on October 31, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Easter Road Stadium, in the Premiership.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.