Motherwell vs Hibernian: prediction and stats
PremiershipRegular Season - 15Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Fir Park, Motherwell
The Footlab AI model makes Motherwell the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Hibernian. The most likely score is 1-1. If Motherwell wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,677 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Motherwell vs Hibernian?
A very open match: only 26 Elo points separate Motherwell (1,805) and Hibernian (1,831).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Motherwell vs Hibernian
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Motherwell
4-2-3-1- 47S. Palmer-Houlden
- 71J. Hodge
- 18Tawanda Jethro Maswanhise
- 19I. Said
- 8L. Fadinger
- 11A. Lowry
- 45M. Emmanuel
- 5M. Moormann
- 7T. Sparrow
- 3J. Girdwood-Reich
- 1A. Paulsen
Hibernian
4-2-3-1- 7O. Elding
- 8J. Mulligan
- 14M. Chaiwa
- 18T. Klidje
- 17J. McGrath
- 11J. Newell
- 25F. Passlack
- 6J. Kerr
- 3A. Mayor
- 5M. Ivezić
- 1R. Sallinger
Computed on October 27, 2026 at 07:59 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Motherwell have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Hibernian have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Heart Of Midlothian(home) | 0-2 | Premiership |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Kilmarnock(away) | 2-3 | Premiership |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Celtic(home) | 0-2 | Premiership |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Dundee(away) | 1-2 | Premiership |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Aberdeen(home) | 0-4 | Premiership |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Celtic(home) | 1-2 | Premiership |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Falkirk(home) | 1-2 | Premiership |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Dundee Utd(away) | 0-1 | Premiership |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Aberdeen(home) | 1-1 | Premiership |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Kilmarnock(home) | 0-1 | Premiership |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Motherwell wins, 2 draws, 1 Hibernian win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 2, 2026 | Hibernian 1-2 Motherwell | Premiership |
| May 16, 2026 | Hibernian 0-1 Motherwell | Premiership |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Motherwell 0-0 Hibernian | Premiership |
| Jan 10, 2026 | Hibernian 1-1 Motherwell | Premiership |
| Nov 25, 2025 | Motherwell 2-0 Hibernian | Premiership |
| Jan 11, 2025 | Hibernian 3-1 Motherwell | Premiership |
Last archived meeting: Hibernian vs Motherwell on Aug 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Motherwell score 1.1 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Hibernian score 1.1 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Motherwell | 1.1 | 1.8 | 3 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Hibernian | 1.1 | 1.2 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Motherwell sit 10th in Premiership (8 points from 10 matches) and Hibernian sit 12th (7 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Motherwell | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 18 | 8 |
| 12 | Hibernian | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 7 |
A question about Motherwell vs Hibernian?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Motherwell vs Hibernian?
- The Footlab AI model makes Motherwell the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Hibernian.
- Where and when is Motherwell vs Hibernian played?
- Motherwell vs Hibernian is played on November 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Fir Park, in the Premiership.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.