Hibernian vs Gent: prediction and stats
UEFA Europa Conference LeaguePlayoff roundKick-off on August 27, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Easter Road Stadium, Edinburgh
The Footlab model makes Hibernian the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Gent. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 20, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hibernian vs Gent?
A very open match: only 24 Elo points separate Hibernian (1,932) and Gent (1,956).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hibernian have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Gent have 4, 9 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Partick(home) | 1-0 | League Cup |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Shkendija(away) | 0-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Rangers(away) | 2-1 | Premiership |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Shkendija(home) | 2-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Motherwell(home) | 1-2 | Premiership |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | RAAL La Louvière(away) | 2-1 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 13, 2026 | IFK Goteborg(home) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | KV Mechelen(home) | 2-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 6, 2026 | IFK Goteborg(away) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 30, 2026 | LNZ Cherkasy(home) | 0-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
How many goals should we expect?
Hibernian score 1.6 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Gent score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hibernian | 1.6 | 1.1 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Gent | 1.3 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Gent | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 9 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hibernian vs Gent?
- The Footlab model makes Hibernian the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Gent.
- Where and when is Hibernian vs Gent played?
- Hibernian vs Gent is played on August 27, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Easter Road Stadium, in the UEFA Europa Conference League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.