Match

FC Thun vs Gent: prediction and stats

UEFA Europa Conference LeagueLeague Stage - 5Kick-off on December 10, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Stockhorn Arena, Thun

FC ThunGent

The Footlab AI model makes Gent the favourite at 64%, against 21% for a draw and 15% for FC Thun. The most likely score is 0-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win FC Thun vs Gent?

Gent is a heavy favourite: 2,086 Elo points against 1,778, a 308-point gap.

15%21%64%
FC Thun winDrawGent win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for FC Thun vs Gent

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

FC Thun

4-4-2
  1. 80S. Lengen
  2. 9F. Dursun
  1. 16J. Roth
  2. 13N. Zoukit
  3. 30N. Maier
  4. 52Adam Ilic
  1. 18T. Strannegård
  2. 19J. Bamert
  3. 47F. Fehr
  4. 5N. Bürgy
  1. 1N. Steffen

Gent

3-4-2-1
  1. 11M. Sonko
  1. 20Tiago Araújo
  2. 17M. Delorge-Knieper
  3. 27T. De Vlieger
  4. 22Leonardo Lopes
  5. 45B. Goore
  6. 57M. Volckaert
  1. 16C. Burgess
  2. 44S. Van der Heyden
  3. 5M. Ngom
  1. 33D. Roef

Computed on October 14, 2026 at 01:48 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Thun have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Gent have 9, 6 and 0.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

FC Thun
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026FC Zurich(away)2-4Super League
Oct 3, 2026SC Kriens(home)2-0Friendlies Clubs
Sep 20, 2026FC Vaduz(away)2-1Super League
Sep 16, 2026Servette FC(home)2-4Super League
Sep 12, 2026Grasshoppers(home)0-1Super League
Gent
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Zulte Waregem(away)2-0Jupiler Pro League
Sep 18, 2026Standard Liege(home)2-1Jupiler Pro League
Sep 13, 2026Genk(away)1-1Jupiler Pro League
Sep 6, 2026Cercle Brugge(away)3-0Jupiler Pro League
Sep 3, 2026OH Leuven(home)1-0Jupiler Pro League

How many goals should we expect?

FC Thun score 1.9 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; Gent score 1.5 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
FC Thun1.92.548/1512/15
Gent1.50.687/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

A question about FC Thun vs Gent?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for FC Thun vs Gent?
The Footlab AI model makes Gent the favourite at 64%, against 21% for a draw and 15% for FC Thun.
Where and when is FC Thun vs Gent played?
FC Thun vs Gent is played on December 10, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Stockhorn Arena, in the UEFA Europa Conference League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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