Hilden vs Sportfreunde Lotte: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - WestWest - 25Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Sportplatz Hoffeldstrasse, Hilden
The Footlab model makes Hilden the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Sportfreunde Lotte. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hilden vs Sportfreunde Lotte?
A very open match: only 83 Elo points separate Hilden (1,952) and Sportfreunde Lotte (1,869).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hilden have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Sportfreunde Lotte have 2, 5 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Wiedenbrück(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 15, 2026 | SG Wattenscheid 09(home) | 2-0 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sportfreunde Siegen(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 1, 2026 | FC Bocholt(home) | 0-0 | Regionalliga - West |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Wulfrath(away) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Bochum II(home) | 0-1 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Bonner SC(away) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Rot-weiss Oberhausen(away) | 0-0 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 1, 2026 | FC Gutersloh(home) | 0-1 | Regionalliga - West |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Real Betis(home) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Hilden score 2.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Sportfreunde Lotte score 1.0 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hilden | 2.1 | 1.1 | 7 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Sportfreunde Lotte | 1.0 | 2.1 | 2 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hilden sit 6th in Regionalliga - West (6 points from 4 matches) and Sportfreunde Lotte sit 16th (2 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Hilden | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| 16 | Sportfreunde Lotte | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hilden vs Sportfreunde Lotte?
- The Footlab model makes Hilden the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Sportfreunde Lotte.
- Where and when is Hilden vs Sportfreunde Lotte played?
- Hilden vs Sportfreunde Lotte is played on March 13, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Sportplatz Hoffeldstrasse, in the Regionalliga - West.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 13, 2027Bonner SCvsSportfreunde Siegen
- Mar 13, 2027SV RodinghausenvsBorussia Dortmund II
- Mar 13, 2027Bergisch GladbachvsKöln II
- Mar 13, 2027Borussia M'gladbach IIvsFC Gutersloh
- Mar 13, 2027Schalke 04 IIvsRot-weiss Oberhausen
- Mar 13, 2027FC BocholtvsSG Wattenscheid 09
- Mar 13, 2027Paderborn IIvsWiedenbrück
- Mar 13, 2027Westfalia RhynernvsBochum II