Sportfreunde Lotte vs Hilden: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - WestWest - 8Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Stadion am Lotter Kreuz, Lotte
The Footlab model makes Hilden the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Sportfreunde Lotte. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sportfreunde Lotte vs Hilden?
A very open match: only 71 Elo points separate Sportfreunde Lotte (1,874) and Hilden (1,946).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sportfreunde Lotte have 2 wins, 5 draws and 8 defeats; Hilden have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Bochum II(home) | 0-1 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Bonner SC(away) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Rot-weiss Oberhausen(away) | 0-0 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 1, 2026 | FC Gutersloh(home) | 0-1 | Regionalliga - West |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Real Betis(home) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Wiedenbrück(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 15, 2026 | SG Wattenscheid 09(home) | 2-0 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sportfreunde Siegen(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 1, 2026 | FC Bocholt(home) | 0-0 | Regionalliga - West |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Wulfrath(away) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Sportfreunde Lotte score 1.0 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Hilden score 2.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sportfreunde Lotte | 1.0 | 2.1 | 2 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Hilden | 2.1 | 1.1 | 7 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sportfreunde Lotte sit 16th in Regionalliga - West (2 points from 4 matches) and Hilden sit 6th (6 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Hilden | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| 16 | Sportfreunde Lotte | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sportfreunde Lotte vs Hilden?
- The Footlab model makes Hilden the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Sportfreunde Lotte.
- Where and when is Sportfreunde Lotte vs Hilden played?
- Sportfreunde Lotte vs Hilden is played on September 12, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion am Lotter Kreuz, in the Regionalliga - West.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 12, 2026SG Wattenscheid 09vsFC Bocholt
- Sep 12, 2026Rot-weiss OberhausenvsSchalke 04 II
- Sep 12, 2026Borussia Dortmund IIvsSV Rodinghausen
- Sep 12, 2026Köln IIvsBergisch Gladbach
- Sep 12, 2026WiedenbrückvsPaderborn II
- Sep 12, 2026Sportfreunde SiegenvsBonner SC
- Sep 12, 2026FC GuterslohvsBorussia M'gladbach II
- Sep 12, 2026Bochum IIvsWestfalia Rhynern