Match

Sportfreunde Lotte vs Hilden: prediction and stats

Regionalliga - WestWest - 8Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Stadion am Lotter Kreuz, Lotte

Sportfreunde LotteHilden

The Footlab model makes Hilden the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Sportfreunde Lotte. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Sportfreunde Lotte vs Hilden?

A very open match: only 71 Elo points separate Sportfreunde Lotte (1,874) and Hilden (1,946).

Sportfreunde Lotte win31 %
Draw25 %
Hilden win44 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sportfreunde Lotte have 2 wins, 5 draws and 8 defeats; Hilden have 8, 4 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Sportfreunde Lotte
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Bochum II(home)0-1Regionalliga - West
Aug 14, 2026Bonner SC(away)2-2Regionalliga - West
Aug 9, 2026Rot-weiss Oberhausen(away)0-0Regionalliga - West
Aug 1, 2026FC Gutersloh(home)0-1Regionalliga - West
Jul 18, 2026Real Betis(home)0-3Friendlies Clubs
Hilden
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Wiedenbrück(away)1-1Regionalliga - West
Aug 15, 2026SG Wattenscheid 09(home)2-0Regionalliga - West
Aug 8, 2026Sportfreunde Siegen(away)1-1Regionalliga - West
Aug 1, 2026FC Bocholt(home)0-0Regionalliga - West
Jul 29, 2026Wulfrath(away)4-0Friendlies Clubs

How many goals should we expect?

Sportfreunde Lotte score 1.0 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Hilden score 2.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Sportfreunde Lotte1.02.128/159/15
Hilden2.11.177/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Sportfreunde Lotte sit 16th in Regionalliga - West (2 points from 4 matches) and Hilden sit 6th (6 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Hilden4130426
16Sportfreunde Lotte4022242

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Sportfreunde Lotte vs Hilden?
The Footlab model makes Hilden the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Sportfreunde Lotte.
Where and when is Sportfreunde Lotte vs Hilden played?
Sportfreunde Lotte vs Hilden is played on September 12, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion am Lotter Kreuz, in the Regionalliga - West.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Sportfreunde Lotte and Hilden

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