Hillerød vs FC Fredericia: prediction and stats
1. DivisionRegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Right to Dream Park, Farum
The Footlab model makes FC Fredericia the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Hillerød. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hillerød vs FC Fredericia?
FC Fredericia starts as the favourite with a 129-point Elo edge (1,947 vs 1,818).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hillerød have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; FC Fredericia have 7, 6 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Avarta(away) | 4-0 | DBU Pokalen |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Vendsyssel FF(away) | 0-1 | 1. Division |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Aarhus Fremad(home) | 1-1 | 1. Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Vejle(away) | 4-5 | 1. Division |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Vaeggerlose(away) | 12-0 | DBU Pokalen |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Aarhus Fremad(home) | 0-0 | 1. Division |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Aalborg(away) | 3-0 | 1. Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Vendsyssel FF(home) | 1-1 | 1. Division |
| Aug 4, 2026 | SfB-Oure(away) | 6-0 | DBU Pokalen |
| Jul 31, 2026 | AB Copenhagen(away) | 1-1 | 1. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Hillerød win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 FC Fredericia win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2025 | FC Fredericia 0-2 Hillerød | 1. Division |
| Sep 23, 2024 | Hillerød 0-3 FC Fredericia | 1. Division |
| Oct 20, 2023 | Hillerød 1-1 FC Fredericia | 1. Division |
| Aug 11, 2023 | FC Fredericia 3-2 Hillerød | 1. Division |
| May 26, 2023 | FC Fredericia 4-0 Hillerød | 1. Division |
| Apr 29, 2023 | Hillerød 1-2 FC Fredericia | 1. Division |
Last archived meeting: FC Fredericia vs Hillerød on Mar 7, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Hillerød score 1.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; FC Fredericia score 2.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hillerød | 1.9 | 1.7 | 2 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| FC Fredericia | 2.1 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hillerød sit 11th in 1. Division (1 points from 5 matches) and FC Fredericia sit 4th (9 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | FC Fredericia | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 9 |
| 11 | Hillerød | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hillerød vs FC Fredericia?
- The Footlab model makes FC Fredericia the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Hillerød.
- Where and when is Hillerød vs FC Fredericia played?
- Hillerød vs FC Fredericia is played on October 10, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Right to Dream Park, in the 1. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.