HNK Hajduk Split vs HNK Rijeka: prediction and stats
HNLRegular Season - 35Kick-off on May 15, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Poljud, Split
The Footlab AI model makes HNK Hajduk Split the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for HNK Rijeka. The most likely score is 1-1. If HNK Hajduk Split wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.9% of the 5,215 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win HNK Hajduk Split vs HNK Rijeka?
A very open match: only 92 Elo points separate HNK Hajduk Split (2,030) and HNK Rijeka (1,938).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for HNK Hajduk Split vs HNK Rijeka
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
HNK Hajduk Split
4-2-3-1- 11M. Šego
- 20Alberto del Moral
- 8K. Fayad
- 18L. Dendoncker
- 26A. Guram
- 7A. Sanyang
- 22M. Acapandié
- 6D. Hadžikadunić
- 32Š. Hrgović
- 15D. Marešić
- 33T. Silić
HNK Rijeka
4-2-3-1- 18D. Adu-Adjei
- 26Tiago Dantas
- 10T. Fruk
- 6B. PaviÄ
- 19S. Vignato
- 14A. Gojak
- 45A. Majstorović
- 22A. Oreč
- 51A. Husic
- 23J. Lasickas
- 13I. Vekič
Computed on November 9, 2026 at 11:52 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, HNK Hajduk Split have 12 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats; HNK Rijeka have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | NK Osijek(away) | 1-0 | HNL |
| Nov 5, 2026 | Lincoln Red Imps FC(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Oct 31, 2026 | HNK Gorica(home) | 5-0 | HNL |
| Oct 26, 2026 | Istra 1961(away) | 2-2 | HNL |
| Oct 22, 2026 | FC Thun(away) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Istra 1961(away) | 1-3 | HNL |
| Nov 1, 2026 | NK Varazdin(home) | 1-1 | HNL |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Dinamo Zagreb(away) | 1-2 | HNL |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Karlovac 1919(away) | 4-1 | Cup |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Rudes(away) | 2-1 | HNL |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 HNK Hajduk Split win, 2 draws, 3 HNK Rijeka wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | HNK Rijeka 3-0 HNK Hajduk Split | HNL |
| Apr 26, 2026 | HNK Rijeka 0-0 HNK Hajduk Split | HNL |
| Mar 4, 2026 | HNK Rijeka 3-2 HNK Hajduk Split | Cup |
| Feb 22, 2026 | HNK Hajduk Split 1-0 HNK Rijeka | HNL |
| Nov 22, 2025 | HNK Rijeka 5-0 HNK Hajduk Split | HNL |
| Aug 31, 2025 | HNK Hajduk Split 2-2 HNK Rijeka | HNL |
Last archived meeting: HNK Rijeka vs HNK Hajduk Split on Sep 20, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
HNK Hajduk Split score 2.0 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; HNK Rijeka score 1.9 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HNK Hajduk Split | 2.0 | 0.7 | 9 | 4/15 | 8/15 |
| HNK Rijeka | 1.9 | 1.6 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
HNK Hajduk Split sit 1st in HNL (29 points from 13 matches) and HNK Rijeka sit 6th (18 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | HNK Hajduk Split | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 27 | 11 | 29 |
| 6 | HNK Rijeka | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 18 | 18 |
A question about HNK Hajduk Split vs HNK Rijeka?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for HNK Hajduk Split vs HNK Rijeka?
- The Footlab AI model makes HNK Hajduk Split the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for HNK Rijeka.
- Where and when is HNK Hajduk Split vs HNK Rijeka played?
- HNK Hajduk Split vs HNK Rijeka is played on May 15, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Poljud, in the HNL.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.