Match

HNK Hajduk Split vs NK Varazdin: prediction and stats

HNLRegular Season - 28Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Poljud, Split

HNK Hajduk SplitNK Varazdin

The Footlab AI model makes HNK Hajduk Split the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for NK Varazdin. The most likely score is 1-1. If HNK Hajduk Split wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,608 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win HNK Hajduk Split vs NK Varazdin?

HNK Hajduk Split starts as the favourite with a 116-point Elo edge (2,012 vs 1,897).

47%28%25%
HNK Hajduk Split winDrawNK Varazdin win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for HNK Hajduk Split vs NK Varazdin

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

HNK Hajduk Split

4-2-3-1
  1. 11M. Šego
  1. 20Alberto del Moral
  2. 7A. Sanyang
  3. 9Dali
  4. 23M. Šotiček
  5. 8K. Fayad
  1. 22M. Acapandié
  2. 6D. Hadžikadunić
  3. 32Š. Hrgović
  4. 5A. Van Hoorenbeeck
  1. 33T. Silić

NK Varazdin

4-2-3-1
  1. 21I. Posavec
  1. 10A. Latković
  2. 22L. Mamić
  3. 38Iuri Tavares
  4. 28I. Canjuga
  5. 8T. Duvnjak
  1. 16N. Tepšić
  2. 23F. Maglica
  3. 14R. Punčec
  4. 13M. Mladenovski
  1. 33J. Silić

Computed on November 6, 2026 at 12:40 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, HNK Hajduk Split have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; NK Varazdin have 6, 5 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

HNK Hajduk Split
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 5, 2026Lincoln Red Imps FC(away)0-1UEFA Europa Conference League
Oct 31, 2026HNK Gorica(home)5-0HNL
Oct 26, 2026Istra 1961(away)2-2HNL
Oct 22, 2026FC Thun(away)1-0UEFA Europa Conference League
Oct 18, 2026NK Varazdin(home)1-0HNL
NK Varazdin
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 1, 2026HNK Rijeka(away)1-1HNL
Oct 28, 2026NK Lokomotiva Zagreb(home)1-1Cup
Oct 24, 2026NK Slaven Belupo(home)1-2HNL
Oct 18, 2026HNK Hajduk Split(away)0-1HNL
Oct 11, 2026NK Lokomotiva Zagreb(away)1-0HNL

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 HNK Hajduk Split wins, 2 draws, 2 NK Varazdin wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026HNK Hajduk Split 1-0 NK VarazdinHNL
Aug 2, 2026NK Varazdin 2-1 HNK Hajduk SplitHNL
May 3, 2026HNK Hajduk Split 3-1 NK VarazdinHNL
Feb 28, 2026NK Varazdin 1-1 HNK Hajduk SplitHNL
Nov 29, 2025HNK Hajduk Split 1-1 NK VarazdinHNL
Sep 13, 2025NK Varazdin 2-0 HNK Hajduk SplitHNL

Last archived meeting: HNK Hajduk Split vs NK Varazdin on Oct 18, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

HNK Hajduk Split score 2.1 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; NK Varazdin score 1.4 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
HNK Hajduk Split2.10.885/159/15
NK Varazdin1.40.967/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

HNK Hajduk Split sit 1st in HNL (26 points from 12 matches) and NK Varazdin sit 4th (19 points from 12 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1HNK Hajduk Split12822261126
4NK Varazdin12543161119

A question about HNK Hajduk Split vs NK Varazdin?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for HNK Hajduk Split vs NK Varazdin?
The Footlab AI model makes HNK Hajduk Split the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for NK Varazdin.
Where and when is HNK Hajduk Split vs NK Varazdin played?
HNK Hajduk Split vs NK Varazdin is played on April 3, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Poljud, in the HNL.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: HNK Hajduk Split and NK Varazdin

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