Match

Istra 1961 vs HNK Hajduk Split: prediction and stats

HNLRegular Season - 29Kick-off on April 10, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Aldo Drosina, Pula

Istra 1961HNK Hajduk Split

The Footlab AI model makes HNK Hajduk Split the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Istra 1961. The most likely score is 1-1. If HNK Hajduk Split wins, the most likely score is 0-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,623 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Istra 1961 vs HNK Hajduk Split?

HNK Hajduk Split starts as the favourite with a 155-point Elo edge (2,012 vs 1,858).

29%28%43%
Istra 1961 winDrawHNK Hajduk Split win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Istra 1961 vs HNK Hajduk Split

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Istra 1961

4-2-3-1
  1. 9Isaac
  1. 25G. Albarracín
  2. 22E. Frederiksen
  3. 20D. Ahmeti
  4. 5D. Hodzic
  5. 30N. Skafar Zuzic
  1. 44R. Hrvatin
  2. 13Niko Šepić
  3. 3M. Nasraoui
  4. 4R. Kumar
  1. 1F. Kolić

HNK Hajduk Split

4-2-3-1
  1. 11M. Šego
  1. 20Alberto del Moral
  2. 7A. Sanyang
  3. 9Dali
  4. 23M. Šotiček
  5. 8K. Fayad
  1. 22M. Acapandié
  2. 6D. Hadžikadunić
  3. 32Š. Hrgović
  4. 5A. Van Hoorenbeeck
  1. 33T. Silić

Computed on November 6, 2026 at 06:42 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Istra 1961 have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; HNK Hajduk Split have 11, 2 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Istra 1961
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 3, 2026Neretva Metković(home)3-0Cup
Oct 30, 2026NK Slaven Belupo(away)2-0HNL
Oct 26, 2026HNK Hajduk Split(home)2-2HNL
Oct 17, 2026NK Lokomotiva Zagreb(away)0-2HNL
Oct 10, 2026NK Osijek(away)3-1HNL
HNK Hajduk Split
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 5, 2026Lincoln Red Imps FC(away)0-1UEFA Europa Conference League
Oct 31, 2026HNK Gorica(home)5-0HNL
Oct 26, 2026Istra 1961(away)2-2HNL
Oct 22, 2026FC Thun(away)1-0UEFA Europa Conference League
Oct 18, 2026NK Varazdin(home)1-0HNL

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Istra 1961 win, 2 draws, 3 HNK Hajduk Split wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Oct 26, 2026Istra 1961 2-2 HNK Hajduk SplitHNL
Aug 9, 2026HNK Hajduk Split 2-2 Istra 1961HNL
Apr 7, 2026Istra 1961 1-3 HNK Hajduk SplitHNL
Jan 25, 2026HNK Hajduk Split 1-2 Istra 1961HNL
Oct 19, 2025Istra 1961 0-3 HNK Hajduk SplitHNL
Aug 3, 2025HNK Hajduk Split 2-1 Istra 1961HNL

Last archived meeting: Istra 1961 vs HNK Hajduk Split on Oct 26, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Istra 1961 score 2.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; HNK Hajduk Split score 2.1 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Istra 19612.11.358/1511/15
HNK Hajduk Split2.10.885/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Istra 1961 sit 6th in HNL (16 points from 12 matches) and HNK Hajduk Split sit 1st (26 points from 12 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1HNK Hajduk Split12822261126
6Istra 196112444211816

A question about Istra 1961 vs HNK Hajduk Split?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Istra 1961 vs HNK Hajduk Split?
The Footlab AI model makes HNK Hajduk Split the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Istra 1961.
Where and when is Istra 1961 vs HNK Hajduk Split played?
Istra 1961 vs HNK Hajduk Split is played on April 10, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Aldo Drosina, in the HNL.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Istra 1961 and HNK Hajduk Split

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