Match

HO Kalken vs Sparta Petegem: prediction and stats

Second Amateur Division - VFV AVFV A - 25Kick-off on March 14, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Jozef Plaetinck Stadion, Kalken

HO KalkenSparta Petegem

The Footlab model makes Sparta Petegem the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for HO Kalken. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win HO Kalken vs Sparta Petegem?

A very open match: only 34 Elo points separate HO Kalken (1,743) and Sparta Petegem (1,777).

HO Kalken win34 %
Draw25 %
Sparta Petegem win42 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, HO Kalken have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; Sparta Petegem have 8, 2 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

HO Kalken
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 26, 2026Gullegem(away)0-5Second Amateur Division - VFV A
Apr 19, 2026Mandel United(home)0-2Second Amateur Division - VFV A
Apr 11, 2026Harelbeke(away)2-0Second Amateur Division - VFV A
Mar 29, 2026Zulte Waregem II(home)1-1Second Amateur Division - VFV A
Mar 21, 2026Diksmuide(away)0-3Second Amateur Division - VFV A
Sparta Petegem
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 26, 2026KRC Gent(away)0-2Second Amateur Division - VFV A
Apr 19, 2026RFC Wetteren(home)4-2Second Amateur Division - VFV A
Apr 11, 2026Gullegem(away)1-3Second Amateur Division - VFV A
Mar 28, 2026Westhoek(home)2-1Second Amateur Division - VFV A
Mar 21, 2026Oudenaarde(away)2-1Second Amateur Division - VFV A

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 HO Kalken win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Sparta Petegem win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 8, 2026HO Kalken 0-3 Sparta PetegemSecond Amateur Division - VFV A
Nov 16, 2025Sparta Petegem 1-3 HO KalkenSecond Amateur Division - VFV A

Last archived meeting: HO Kalken vs Sparta Petegem on Feb 8, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

HO Kalken score 1.1 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; Sparta Petegem score 1.6 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
HO Kalken1.12.519/1510/15
Sparta Petegem1.61.348/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

HO Kalken sit 9th in Second Amateur Division - VFV A (39 points from 30 matches) and Sparta Petegem sit 7th (41 points from 30 matches).

2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7Sparta Petegem3012513434641
9HO Kalken3011613425839

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for HO Kalken vs Sparta Petegem?
The Footlab model makes Sparta Petegem the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for HO Kalken.
Where and when is HO Kalken vs Sparta Petegem played?
HO Kalken vs Sparta Petegem is played on March 14, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Jozef Plaetinck Stadion, in the Second Amateur Division - VFV A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: HO Kalken and Sparta Petegem

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