Sparta Petegem vs HO Kalken: prediction and stats
Second Amateur Division - VFV AVFV A - 6Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Complex Gaversesteenweg, Deinze
The Footlab model makes Sparta Petegem the favourite at 55%, against 22% for a draw and 23% for HO Kalken. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sparta Petegem vs HO Kalken?
A very open match: only 34 Elo points separate Sparta Petegem (1,777) and HO Kalken (1,743).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sparta Petegem have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; HO Kalken have 3, 2 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | KRC Gent(away) | 0-2 | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
| Apr 19, 2026 | RFC Wetteren(home) | 4-2 | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Gullegem(away) | 1-3 | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Westhoek(home) | 2-1 | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Oudenaarde(away) | 2-1 | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Gullegem(away) | 0-5 | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Mandel United(home) | 0-2 | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Harelbeke(away) | 2-0 | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Zulte Waregem II(home) | 1-1 | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Diksmuide(away) | 0-3 | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Sparta Petegem win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 HO Kalken win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2026 | HO Kalken 0-3 Sparta Petegem | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
| Nov 16, 2025 | Sparta Petegem 1-3 HO Kalken | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
Last archived meeting: HO Kalken vs Sparta Petegem on Feb 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sparta Petegem score 1.6 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; HO Kalken score 1.1 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sparta Petegem | 1.6 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| HO Kalken | 1.1 | 2.5 | 1 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sparta Petegem sit 7th in Second Amateur Division - VFV A (41 points from 30 matches) and HO Kalken sit 9th (39 points from 30 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Sparta Petegem | 30 | 12 | 5 | 13 | 43 | 46 | 41 |
| 9 | HO Kalken | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 42 | 58 | 39 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sparta Petegem vs HO Kalken?
- The Footlab model makes Sparta Petegem the favourite at 55%, against 22% for a draw and 23% for HO Kalken.
- Where and when is Sparta Petegem vs HO Kalken played?
- Sparta Petegem vs HO Kalken is played on October 3, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Complex Gaversesteenweg, in the Second Amateur Division - VFV A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.