Hobro vs Naestved: result 4-1 and analysis
1. DivisionRegular Season - 13Kick-off on October 16, 2016 at 11:45 AM (UTC)DS Arena, Hobro
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What was the result of Hobro vs Naestved?
Hobro won 4-1 on October 16, 2016.
Goalscorers
- 23′A. BaesNaestved
- 51′N. GotfredsenHobro
- 63′N. GotfredsenHobro
- 81′W. DomoraudHobro
- 90′A. AbangHobro
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hobro have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Naestved have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2016 | AB Copenhagen(away) | 3-0 | 1. Division |
| Oct 2, 2016 | Vejle(home) | 1-0 | 1. Division |
| Sep 25, 2016 | HB Koge(home) | 0-0 | 1. Division |
| Sep 18, 2016 | Fremad Amager(away) | 1-4 | 1. Division |
| Sep 11, 2016 | Nykobing FC(home) | 1-0 | 1. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2016 | HB Koge(home) | 1-1 | 1. Division |
| Oct 2, 2016 | FC Fredericia(away) | 1-3 | 1. Division |
| Sep 25, 2016 | Fremad Amager(home) | 0-1 | 1. Division |
| Sep 18, 2016 | Skive(away) | 1-2 | 1. Division |
| Sep 11, 2016 | Vendsyssel FF(home) | 1-3 | 1. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Hobro win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Naestved win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 7, 2016 | Naestved 3-0 Hobro | 1. Division |
| Apr 28, 2012 | Hobro 1-0 Naestved | 1. Division |
| Sep 18, 2011 | Naestved 2-2 Hobro | 1. Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Hobro score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Naestved score 1.9 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hobro | 1.5 | 1.1 | 7 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Naestved | 1.9 | 1.7 | 3 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Hobro | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 12 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy