Thisted FC vs Naestved: prediction and stats
2. DivisionMatchday 17Kick-off on March 7, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Sparekassen Thy Arena, Thisted
The Footlab AI model makes Naestved the favourite at 46%, against 28% for a draw and 26% for Thisted FC. The most likely score is 1-1. If Naestved wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 5,672 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Thisted FC vs Naestved?
Naestved starts as the favourite with a 108-point Elo edge (1,651 vs 1,543).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Thisted FC vs Naestved
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Thisted FC
Not enough data to predict the Thisted FC lineup.
Naestved
Not enough data to predict the Naestved lineup.
Computed on November 13, 2026 at 06:43 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Thisted FC have 1 win, 4 draws and 10 defeats; Naestved have 4, 9 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2026 | Fremad Amager(home) | 0-0 | 2. Division |
| Nov 1, 2026 | B 93(home) | 1-3 | 2. Division |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Nykobing FC(away) | 0-3 | 2. Division |
| Oct 18, 2026 | VSK Århus(home) | 2-2 | 2. Division |
| Oct 10, 2026 | HIK(away) | 1-1 | 2. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Middelfart(away) | 2-3 | 2. Division |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Roskilde(home) | 0-0 | 2. Division |
| Oct 24, 2026 | VSK Århus(away) | 2-2 | 2. Division |
| Oct 16, 2026 | B 93(home) | 2-1 | 2. Division |
| Oct 10, 2026 | FA 2000(away) | 1-1 | 2. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Thisted FC wins, 0 draws, 3 Naestved wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2026 | Naestved 3-1 Thisted FC | 2. Division |
| May 23, 2026 | Naestved 0-2 Thisted FC | 2. Division |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Thisted FC 2-0 Naestved | 2. Division |
| Nov 9, 2025 | Thisted FC 1-2 Naestved | 2. Division |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Naestved 0-2 Thisted FC | 2. Division |
| Mar 9, 2025 | Naestved 2-1 Thisted FC | 2. Division |
Last archived meeting: Naestved vs Thisted FC on Sep 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Thisted FC score 0.7 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Naestved score 1.3 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thisted FC | 0.7 | 1.9 | 1 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Naestved | 1.3 | 1.2 | 2 | 12/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Thisted FC sit 12th in 2. Division (7 points from 15 matches) and Naestved sit 6th (21 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Naestved | 15 | 4 | 9 | 2 | 21 | 19 | 21 |
| 12 | Thisted FC | 15 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 12 | 30 | 7 |
A question about Thisted FC vs Naestved?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Thisted FC vs Naestved?
- The Footlab AI model makes Naestved the favourite at 46%, against 28% for a draw and 26% for Thisted FC.
- Where and when is Thisted FC vs Naestved played?
- Thisted FC vs Naestved is played on March 7, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Sparekassen Thy Arena, in the 2. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.