Thisted FC vs Naestved: prediction and stats
2. DivisionRegular Season - 17Kick-off on March 7, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Sparekassen Thy Arena, Thisted
The Footlab model makes Naestved the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for Thisted FC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Thisted FC vs Naestved?
A very open match: only 35 Elo points separate Thisted FC (1,689) and Naestved (1,724).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Thisted FC have 6 wins, 0 draws and 9 defeats; Naestved have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Skive(home) | 0-1 | 2. Division |
| Aug 15, 2026 | VSK Århus(away) | 1-3 | 2. Division |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FA 2000(home) | 0-1 | 2. Division |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Aabybro(away) | 9-1 | DBU Pokalen |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Middelfart(away) | 1-4 | 2. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | VSK Århus(home) | 0-2 | 2. Division |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Nykobing FC(away) | 1-1 | DBU Pokalen |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Brabrand(away) | 1-0 | 2. Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | HIK(home) | 1-1 | 2. Division |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Hvidovre(home) | 1-0 | DBU Pokalen |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Thisted FC win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Naestved win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Naestved 0-2 Thisted FC | 2. Division |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Thisted FC 2-0 Naestved | 2. Division |
| Nov 9, 2025 | Thisted FC 1-2 Naestved | 2. Division |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Naestved 0-2 Thisted FC | 2. Division |
| Mar 9, 2025 | Naestved 2-1 Thisted FC | 2. Division |
| Sep 1, 2024 | Thisted FC 0-1 Naestved | 2. Division |
Last archived meeting: Naestved vs Thisted FC on May 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Thisted FC score 1.6 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Naestved score 1.4 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thisted FC | 1.6 | 1.4 | 4 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Naestved | 1.4 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Thisted FC sit 12th in 2. Division (0 points from 4 matches) and Naestved sit 8th (5 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Naestved | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 5 |
| 12 | Thisted FC | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Thisted FC vs Naestved?
- The Footlab model makes Naestved the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for Thisted FC.
- Where and when is Thisted FC vs Naestved played?
- Thisted FC vs Naestved is played on March 7, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Sparekassen Thy Arena, in the 2. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.