Match

Hoek vs GVVV Veenendaal: prediction and stats

Tweede DivisieRegular Season - 14Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Sportpark Denoek, Hoek

HoekGVVV Veenendaal

The Footlab model makes Hoek the favourite at 67%, against 18% for a draw and 15% for GVVV Veenendaal. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Hoek vs GVVV Veenendaal?

Hoek starts as the favourite with a 140-point Elo edge (1,945 vs 1,806).

Hoek win67 %
Draw18 %
GVVV Veenendaal win15 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hoek have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; GVVV Veenendaal have 5, 1 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Hoek
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Katwijk(away)1-1Tweede Divisie
Aug 15, 2026Koninklijke HFC(home)3-1Tweede Divisie
Jul 15, 2026NAC Breda(home)1-2Friendlies Clubs
May 23, 2026De Treffers(away)2-2Tweede Divisie
May 16, 2026Rijnsburgse Boys(home)2-0Tweede Divisie
GVVV Veenendaal
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026AFC Amsterdam(home)2-3Tweede Divisie
Aug 15, 2026De Treffers(away)1-5Tweede Divisie
Aug 8, 2026DVS 33 Ermelo(home)3-0Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026Huizen(home)6-3Friendlies Clubs
Jul 28, 2026Eemdijk(home)1-2Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Hoek win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 GVVV Veenendaal win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 7, 2026Hoek 0-1 GVVV VeenendaalTweede Divisie
Oct 4, 2025GVVV Veenendaal 1-3 HoekTweede Divisie
Jan 28, 2023Hoek 4-7 GVVV VeenendaalDerde Divisie
Sep 3, 2022GVVV Veenendaal 0-0 HoekDerde Divisie

Last archived meeting: Hoek vs GVVV Veenendaal on Mar 7, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Hoek score 1.9 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; GVVV Veenendaal score 1.9 and concede 2.4. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Hoek1.91.4311/1510/15
GVVV Veenendaal1.92.4311/1512/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Hoek sit 6th in Tweede Divisie (4 points from 2 matches) and GVVV Veenendaal sit 16th (0 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Hoek2110424
16GVVV Veenendaal2002380

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Hoek vs GVVV Veenendaal?
The Footlab model makes Hoek the favourite at 67%, against 18% for a draw and 15% for GVVV Veenendaal.
Where and when is Hoek vs GVVV Veenendaal played?
Hoek vs GVVV Veenendaal is played on November 21, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Sportpark Denoek, in the Tweede Divisie.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Hoek and GVVV Veenendaal

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