Hoek vs GVVV Veenendaal: prediction and stats
Tweede DivisieRegular Season - 14Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Sportpark Denoek, Hoek
The Footlab model makes Hoek the favourite at 67%, against 18% for a draw and 15% for GVVV Veenendaal. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hoek vs GVVV Veenendaal?
Hoek starts as the favourite with a 140-point Elo edge (1,945 vs 1,806).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hoek have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; GVVV Veenendaal have 5, 1 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Katwijk(away) | 1-1 | Tweede Divisie |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Koninklijke HFC(home) | 3-1 | Tweede Divisie |
| Jul 15, 2026 | NAC Breda(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 23, 2026 | De Treffers(away) | 2-2 | Tweede Divisie |
| May 16, 2026 | Rijnsburgse Boys(home) | 2-0 | Tweede Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | AFC Amsterdam(home) | 2-3 | Tweede Divisie |
| Aug 15, 2026 | De Treffers(away) | 1-5 | Tweede Divisie |
| Aug 8, 2026 | DVS 33 Ermelo(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Huizen(home) | 6-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Eemdijk(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Hoek win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 GVVV Veenendaal win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | Hoek 0-1 GVVV Veenendaal | Tweede Divisie |
| Oct 4, 2025 | GVVV Veenendaal 1-3 Hoek | Tweede Divisie |
| Jan 28, 2023 | Hoek 4-7 GVVV Veenendaal | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 3, 2022 | GVVV Veenendaal 0-0 Hoek | Derde Divisie |
Last archived meeting: Hoek vs GVVV Veenendaal on Mar 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Hoek score 1.9 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; GVVV Veenendaal score 1.9 and concede 2.4. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hoek | 1.9 | 1.4 | 3 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| GVVV Veenendaal | 1.9 | 2.4 | 3 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hoek sit 6th in Tweede Divisie (4 points from 2 matches) and GVVV Veenendaal sit 16th (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Hoek | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
| 16 | GVVV Veenendaal | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hoek vs GVVV Veenendaal?
- The Footlab model makes Hoek the favourite at 67%, against 18% for a draw and 15% for GVVV Veenendaal.
- Where and when is Hoek vs GVVV Veenendaal played?
- Hoek vs GVVV Veenendaal is played on November 21, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Sportpark Denoek, in the Tweede Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 21, 2026KatwijkvsRijnsburgse Boys
- Nov 21, 2026RKAV VolendamvsAFC Amsterdam
- Nov 21, 2026Koninklijke HFCvsHHC
- Nov 21, 2026SpakenburgvsROHDA Raalte
- Nov 21, 2026BarendrechtvsKloetinge
- Nov 21, 2026De TreffersvsKozakken Boys
- Nov 21, 2026Almere City IIvsIjsselmeervogels
- Nov 21, 2026Sparta Rotterdam IIvsQuick Boys