Spakenburg vs ROHDA Raalte: prediction and stats
Tweede DivisieRegular Season - 14Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Sportpark De Westmaat (Spakenburg), Bunschoten
The Footlab model makes Spakenburg the favourite at 59%, against 21% for a draw and 20% for ROHDA Raalte. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Spakenburg vs ROHDA Raalte?
Spakenburg starts as the favourite with a 141-point Elo edge (1,923 vs 1,782).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Spakenburg have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; ROHDA Raalte have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | RKAV Volendam(away) | 1-2 | Tweede Divisie |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Katwijk(home) | 1-0 | Tweede Divisie |
| May 23, 2026 | Koninklijke HFC(away) | 2-3 | Tweede Divisie |
| May 16, 2026 | Katwijk(home) | 2-1 | Tweede Divisie |
| May 9, 2026 | De Treffers(away) | 0-0 | Tweede Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | De Treffers(home) | 0-3 | Tweede Divisie |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Sparta Rotterdam II(away) | 1-6 | Tweede Divisie |
| May 23, 2026 | Staphorst(away) | 1-2 | Derde Divisie |
| May 16, 2026 | TEC(home) | 0-1 | Derde Divisie |
| May 9, 2026 | Harkemase Boys(away) | 1-2 | Derde Divisie |
How many goals should we expect?
Spakenburg score 1.8 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; ROHDA Raalte score 1.2 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spakenburg | 1.8 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| ROHDA Raalte | 1.2 | 1.7 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Spakenburg sit 9th in Tweede Divisie (3 points from 2 matches) and ROHDA Raalte sit 18th (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Spakenburg | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 18 | ROHDA Raalte | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Spakenburg vs ROHDA Raalte?
- The Footlab model makes Spakenburg the favourite at 59%, against 21% for a draw and 20% for ROHDA Raalte.
- Where and when is Spakenburg vs ROHDA Raalte played?
- Spakenburg vs ROHDA Raalte is played on November 21, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Sportpark De Westmaat (Spakenburg), in the Tweede Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 21, 2026KatwijkvsRijnsburgse Boys
- Nov 21, 2026RKAV VolendamvsAFC Amsterdam
- Nov 21, 2026Koninklijke HFCvsHHC
- Nov 21, 2026BarendrechtvsKloetinge
- Nov 21, 2026HoekvsGVVV Veenendaal
- Nov 21, 2026De TreffersvsKozakken Boys
- Nov 21, 2026Almere City IIvsIjsselmeervogels
- Nov 21, 2026Sparta Rotterdam IIvsQuick Boys