Holbæk B&I vs Hørsholm-Usserød: prediction and stats
3. DivisionRegular Season - 17Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Holbæk Sportsby, Holbæk
The Footlab model makes Holbæk B&I the favourite at 69%, against 18% for a draw and 14% for Hørsholm-Usserød. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Holbæk B&I vs Hørsholm-Usserød?
Holbæk B&I starts as the favourite with a 182-point Elo edge (1,851 vs 1,669).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Holbæk B&I have 13 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats; Hørsholm-Usserød have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Brønshøj(away) | 4-1 | 3. Division |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Sundby(home) | 2-1 | 3. Division |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Holstebro(away) | 2-2 | 3. Division |
| Aug 4, 2026 | AB Copenhagen(home) | 1-2 | DBU Pokalen |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Frem(home) | 2-1 | 3. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | FC Helsingor(away) | 5-2 | DBU Pokalen |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Sundby(away) | 4-4 | 3. Division |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Ishøj(home) | 2-0 | 3. Division |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Føroyar(away) | 2-0 | DBU Pokalen |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Frem(away) | 1-1 | 3. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Holbæk B&I win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Hørsholm-Usserød win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2025 | Holbæk B&I 4-4 Hørsholm-Usserød | 3. Division |
| Sep 6, 2025 | Hørsholm-Usserød 0-4 Holbæk B&I | 3. Division |
Last archived meeting: Holbæk B&I vs Hørsholm-Usserød on Nov 1, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Holbæk B&I score 2.6 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Hørsholm-Usserød score 2.0 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holbæk B&I | 2.6 | 0.9 | 4 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Hørsholm-Usserød | 2.0 | 2.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Holbæk B&I sit 1st in 3. Division (10 points from 4 matches) and Hørsholm-Usserød sit 8th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Holbæk B&I | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 5 | 10 |
| 8 | Hørsholm-Usserød | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Holbæk B&I vs Hørsholm-Usserød?
- The Footlab model makes Holbæk B&I the favourite at 69%, against 18% for a draw and 14% for Hørsholm-Usserød.
- Where and when is Holbæk B&I vs Hørsholm-Usserød played?
- Holbæk B&I vs Hørsholm-Usserød is played on March 6, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Holbæk Sportsby, in the 3. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.