Hørsholm-Usserød vs Holbæk B&I: prediction and stats
3. DivisionRegular Season - 7Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Hørsholm Idrætspark, Rungsted Kyst
The Footlab model makes Holbæk B&I the favourite at 64%, against 19% for a draw and 16% for Hørsholm-Usserød. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hørsholm-Usserød vs Holbæk B&I?
Holbæk B&I starts as the favourite with a 182-point Elo edge (1,851 vs 1,669).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hørsholm-Usserød have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Holbæk B&I have 13, 1 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | FC Helsingor(away) | 5-2 | DBU Pokalen |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Sundby(away) | 4-4 | 3. Division |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Ishøj(home) | 2-0 | 3. Division |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Føroyar(away) | 2-0 | DBU Pokalen |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Frem(away) | 1-1 | 3. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Brønshøj(away) | 4-1 | 3. Division |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Sundby(home) | 2-1 | 3. Division |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Holstebro(away) | 2-2 | 3. Division |
| Aug 4, 2026 | AB Copenhagen(home) | 1-2 | DBU Pokalen |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Frem(home) | 2-1 | 3. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Hørsholm-Usserød win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Holbæk B&I win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2025 | Holbæk B&I 4-4 Hørsholm-Usserød | 3. Division |
| Sep 6, 2025 | Hørsholm-Usserød 0-4 Holbæk B&I | 3. Division |
Last archived meeting: Holbæk B&I vs Hørsholm-Usserød on Nov 1, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Hørsholm-Usserød score 2.0 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Holbæk B&I score 2.6 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hørsholm-Usserød | 2.0 | 2.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Holbæk B&I | 2.6 | 0.9 | 4 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hørsholm-Usserød sit 8th in 3. Division (4 points from 3 matches) and Holbæk B&I sit 1st (10 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Holbæk B&I | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 5 | 10 |
| 8 | Hørsholm-Usserød | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hørsholm-Usserød vs Holbæk B&I?
- The Footlab model makes Holbæk B&I the favourite at 64%, against 19% for a draw and 16% for Hørsholm-Usserød.
- Where and when is Hørsholm-Usserød vs Holbæk B&I played?
- Hørsholm-Usserød vs Holbæk B&I is played on September 13, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Hørsholm Idrætspark, in the 3. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.