Home Stars vs Accra Lions: prediction and stats
Division One LeagueRegular Season - 6Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Ho Sports Stadium, Ho
The Footlab model makes Home Stars the favourite at 52%, against 28% for a draw and 20% for Accra Lions. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Home Stars vs Accra Lions?
A very open match: only 10 Elo points separate Home Stars (1,490) and Accra Lions (1,480).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Home Stars have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Accra Lions have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Okwawu(home) | 0-1 | Division One League |
| May 9, 2026 | Great Olympics(away) | 0-2 | Division One League |
| May 3, 2026 | Golden Warriors(home) | 1-1 | Division One League |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Golden Kicks(away) | 1-1 | Division One League |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Nania(home) | 0-1 | Division One League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Port City(away) | 1-1 | Division One League |
| May 9, 2026 | Na God(home) | 2-1 | Division One League |
| May 3, 2026 | Hakla SC(away) | 1-2 | Division One League |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Inter Allies(home) | 0-1 | Division One League |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Great Ambitions(away) | 5-0 | Division One League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Home Stars win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Accra Lions win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2026 | Accra Lions 2-1 Home Stars | Division One League |
| Dec 6, 2025 | Home Stars 1-0 Accra Lions | Division One League |
Last archived meeting: Accra Lions vs Home Stars on Apr 5, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Home Stars score 0.8 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Accra Lions score 1.4 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Stars | 0.8 | 0.9 | 4 | 7/15 | 2/15 |
| Accra Lions | 1.4 | 1.2 | 4 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Home Stars sit 3rd in Division One League (3 points from 1 matches) and Accra Lions sit 10th (1 points from 1 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Home Stars | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 10 | Accra Lions | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Home Stars vs Accra Lions?
- The Footlab model makes Home Stars the favourite at 52%, against 28% for a draw and 20% for Accra Lions.
- Where and when is Home Stars vs Accra Lions played?
- Home Stars vs Accra Lions is played on October 31, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Ho Sports Stadium, in the Division One League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.